
Matthew is next up for Ronnie
It’s Semi-Final time at the Crucible and the players who have made the one table set up all have experience of this change in feel to the arena, with 3 times winner Ronnie O’Sullivan now assuming hot favourite’s position to lift the famous trophy on Monday evening.
For all the new players and young talent coming through in the game the final four has something of a retro feel to it and could be a final four from 6 or 7 seasons ago. Stephen Maguire is arguably one of the Crucible’s biggest underachievers with just the one semi-final to his name, Ali Carter was runner-up to Ronnie here in 2008 and a semi-finalist in 2010, while Matthew Stevens plays in this stage for the 6th time having twice finished runner-up.
Yesterday saw an early win for Stevens who polished off the two frames he needed against Ryan Day with the minimum of fuss, winning 11 frames on the spin without really ever looking in tip-top form, but winning by that margin when you aren’t at your best at the Crucible is something any player would take.
Maguire of course had already put himself through a day early with his demolition job on the retiring Hendry. The BBC (presumably) decided to put on an ermm, Ceremony/Guard of Honour for the 7 times champion before the afternoon session yesterday and it’s fair to say that a little more thought could have gone into it.
The half-baked spectacle basically consisted of Stephen coming out in his regulation BBC Team V-Neck sweater to shake hands with a few hastily cobbled together ‘legends’ of the sport and stand there looking uncomfortable while everyone clapped and waited to be told to stop clapping by Hzael. Hardly a fitting tribute to the undisputed King of the Crucible, he’d have been better off being asked to judge the result of that awful pub quiz that the Beeb seem intent on inflicting upon unsuspecting and frankly undeserving viewers all week during the mid-session intervals.
Maguire faces the Captain, Ali Carter who ended up weathering a storm to land in the semi-finals at the expense of Jamie ‘The Quiff’ Jones. Ali looked to be in cruise control in the match before Jones got into gear and a bizarre frame when Ali was 12-10 up extended the match by a further frame before the Captain got down to business in a match that he always looked like winning.
The match that every man and his dog were dubbing ‘The Final’ between Ronnie and Robbo was nicely poised going into the evening session with Robbo seemingly having played his way back into it after a woeful afternoon which saw him go from 2 up to 4 down in the sapce of just over an hour. At 8-9 he looked to have a great chance to level things up but missed just one too many balls and Ronnie came through a deserved winner in the end and now must surely be the man that will emerge triumphant. Gone are the thoughts that at some point his head will go and he will ‘beat himself’. He is relaxed, in fine spirits and playing as well as ever. We’ll see what develops but for me, he is now a huge favourite to lift his 4th world crown and who’s to say that more won’t follow, perhaps, just perhaps he has Hendry’s record in his sights after all.
Thursday May 3
1pm
SF1 Stephen Maguire v Ali Carter
Head to Head: 2-1 to Carter
| Stephen Maguire |
Ali Carter |
Players Tour Championship 12 2011 |
Round 3 |
4-1 |
| Ali Carter |
Stephen Maguire |
Welsh Open 2010 |
Semi-final |
6-3 |
| Ali Carter |
Stephen Maguire |
Grand Prix 2000 |
q-Round 2 |
5-3 |
Two players who have had quite different championships up to now meet first up. Maguire has been solid throughout and has never looked in danger of losing any of his first three matches against Brecel, Perry or Hendry and you have to say there are not many players that have enjoyed such a straightforward ride to this stage. Ali on the other hand had to come back from 3 down with 4 to play to beat Judd Trump before having to withstand the momentum behind Jamie Jones and fight his way over the line. The question is, how much have his matches so far taken out of him? Maguire has had the best part of two days off whereas Ali was still battling away a few hours ago. I haven’t seen the Captain cueing this well since he was runner-up here and I can see this one perhaps developing into a Crucible classic semi-final. It could also be a great spectacle as they are two of the most volatile players in the top flight so I’d expect plenty of cuebangs, wrapped knuckles and glares at the table when things go wrong from both of them. Maguire is a deserved favourite for the match given his form coming into this and the season he has had, while there was nothing to indicate that the Captain could make an impact on the championship coming it, but make an impact he has. It’s a real heart against head match for me this as I would love to see the Captain win but I think Maguire will be lining up in the final, so it’s an interest bet only for me here and I’ll be cheering the Captain on to land the plane safely in Finalsville.
Recommended Bet: 1 point on Maguire to win by 3 or 4 frames at 5/1 with Ladbrokes
7pm
SF2 Ronnie O’Sullivan v Matthew Stevens
Head to Head: 12-4 to O’Sullivan
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
German Masters 2012 |
Quarter-final |
5-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Players Tour Championship 7 2011 |
Final |
4-2 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Premier League 2011 |
Semi-final |
3-0 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Players Tour Championship 2 2011 |
Round 3 |
4-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Players Tour Championship 1 2010 |
Round 4 |
4-1 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
UK Championship 2009 |
Round 1 |
9-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Northern Ireland Trophy 2006 |
Round 3 |
5-2 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Failte Ireland Irish Masters 2005 |
Final |
10-8 |
| Matthew Stevens |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
LG Cup 2003 |
Round 3 |
5-0 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Citywest Irish Masters 2003 |
Quarter-final |
6-2 |
| Matthew Stevens |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Citywest Irish Masters 2002 |
Quarter-final |
6-2 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Regal Scottish Masters 2001 |
Quarter-final |
6-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Champions Cup 2000 |
Robin round |
5-2 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Matthew Stevens |
Benson & Hedges Irish Masters 2000 |
Quarter-final |
6-4 |
| Matthew Stevens |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
UK Championship 1999 |
Quarter-final |
9-3 |
| Matthew Stevens |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Regal Scottish Masters 1999 |
Quarter-final |
6-4 |
It’s back to business for the Rocket and this time it’s the experienced Matthew Stevens who stands between him and a fourth final. Ronnie has actually lost 5 out of the 8 semi-finals he has played at the Crucible over the years but the three he has won have seen him go on and lift the trophy. Matthew’s Crucible semi-final record is played 5 won 2 and lost 3, but for him the two he has managed to win have seen him go on to lose tense finals to Mark Williams in 2000 (18-16) and Shaun Murphy in 2005 (18-16). As I said above Matthew has got here without playing his best but he’s still showing patches where he doesn’t look like missing and for me remains one of the most naturally gifted players in the game. But again this is a heart against head match and as much as I would love to see Matthew join Ali in the final I just have a feeling we may be witnessing The Ronnie Show from now on, Ladbrokes are offering an interesting centuries price for anyone that really think the Rocket will lift off in this first to 17 frame encounter, they are giving odds of 12/1 on him having 6 or more centuries in the match, which the way he is playing is not beyond the realms of possibility, particularly seeing as you can back this up with a 10/1 saver that he only makes a mere five. But I think the bet for this match will be that Matthew won’t win more than 11 frames in the match so.
Recommended Bet: 3 points on O’Sullivan -6.5 frames at 2/1 with Apollobet. 1 point on O’Sullivan to make 5 centuries (10/1) and 1 point on him to make 6 or more centuries (12/1) with Ladbrokes.
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