
My Tip for the Title
It’s finally here after a marathon season. The best 17 days of the year from the Crucible in Sheffield is upon us. The World Snooker Championship never ceases to ignite in me the same excitement it did when I first watched it as an 11 year old with a piece of bread and jam in front of a TV set that hissed. It’s been the same ever since, apart from the advances in television sets that is, and now 30 years later I find myself writing a preview on it which will be read by quite a few people. Daunting.
Plenty of people are being quick to label this as ‘the most open championship for years’, for me that is standard patter for bigging the event up and I’m all for anything that does that. But do they have a good point this time around? With the odd exception down the years, most notably for me when Shaun Murphy and Joe Johnson won it, it’s been a player with a winners pedigree that lifts the trophy at the end of the gruelling 17 days and I don’t see any reason for that not happening again this season.
But because of the expansion of the tour and the number of events the players are playing in, there is an ever-expanding field of players with such a pedigree. The most notable addition to that list this season is Mark Allen, who finally broke his ranking title duck a few weeks ago after knocking on the door for what seemed an age and for me he is a big player in this championship now. Stuart Bingham is another who has broken into the winners circle this year after winning the Australian Open at the beginning of the season.
We can also look at those who have rejoined the winners club after a lengthy time away, the obvious two being Stephen Lee and Peter Ebdon, Ronnie O’Sullivan did too with a long overdue win in the German Masters, his first main ranking tournament win for three seasons. All three now come into calculations for this.
We then have the group of solid, consistent regular season winners such as Ding Junhui, Neil Robertson, World Number One Mark Selby and to some extent now, Judd Trump. We have sleeping giants with big tournament wins under their belts but who haven’t won a main event this season, John Higgins, Stephen Maguire, Shaun Murphy, Mark Williams, Matthew Stevens, Ali Carter and Graeme Dott. Of course, you also have those that are looking for one last tilt at a world title, previous winners Stephen Hendry and Ken Doherty fitting the bill in the ‘veterans’ category this year hoping for a fairytale ending to their illustrious careers.
Add to this the new kids on the block whose torch-bearer this year is without doubt Belgium’s revelation Luca Brecel, with able assistants including the fast improving Welshman Jamie Jones and Chinese duo Liu Chuang and Cao Yupeng, this is not even mentioning the returning to form Liang Wenbo and you begin to see how hard it’s becoming to predict.
We then move on to the players that are capable of beating anyone on their day, such as experienced Crucible players like Marco Fu, Ryan Day, Martin Gould, Joe Perry, Dominic Dale, Barry Hawkins and Dark Mavis to those with a point to prove like Andrew Higginson and Dave Gilbert who have both had narrow defeats to strong opponents on their only Crucible appearances to date. I seem to have inadvertently named all 32 players, perhaps it really is that open.
The way I am going to set out the preview is to talk about each of the first round matches individually after detailing their past meetings to date, if they have played each other before which most of the pairings have at least once. I will detail any single recommended bets after the match preview and multiples after the 16th match down between Selby and Hawkins.
I will then finish with who I have backed in the outright markets. The title of the post and the main image gives away who my idea of the winner is and I recommended a bet on Neil Robertson about a month ago, but there are others that I feel you should be backing to give yourself the best chance of a decent return.
As ever, whether you follow me or not, enjoy the championship and the best of luck with your bets. Stay tuned to the blog as I’ll be delving for some exclusives throughout the event as I head over to Sheffield for Crucible Eve on Friday.
OK, here goes.
Quarter One: A Scottish Assembly?
John Higgins v Liang Wenbo
| John Higgins |
Liang Wenbo |
Welsh Open 2012 |
13.02.2012 |
Round 1 |
4-1 |
| John Higgins |
Liang Wenbo |
UK Championship 2009 |
10.12.2009 |
Quarter-final |
9-2 |
| John Higgins |
Liang Wenbo |
Northern Ireland Trophy 2008 |
28.08.2008 |
Round 3 |
5-1 |
Ok, I will start with a bold statement. I don’t think John Higgins will win the World Championship this year. For me his game is a way off his best and the evidence for this comes as recently as two weeks ago. I don’t feel that he has the time to turn it around to be a real contender this year. I may be wrong and he may prove again what a quality player and great champion he is, but that is my opinion this year and I’m sticking to it. He faces Liang Wenbo, who is a player that dropped like a stone down the rankings after a promising start to his professional career, however just lately he has been starting to win again and on his day is a fearless, though sometimes a bit too fearless to the point of being reckless potter. He had to win in a decider against Marcus Campbell to get here which has to be a confidence booster. But beat Higgins? No. I just can’t see it I’m afraid, the head-to-heads say it all for me, John will have too much in the tactical and matchplay department for Liang and even an off day for the defending champion might still see him through, but of course, beware the Crucible Curse…..
Prediction: Higgins
Stuart Bingham v Stephen Hendry
| Stuart Bingham |
Stephen Hendry |
Embassy World Championship 2000 |
15.04.2000 |
Round 1 |
10-7 |
Stephen Hendry returns to his old stomping ground again to try and reverse the ageing process that is currently seeing him miss balls that the young Hendry would have eaten for breakfast. He is also currently in China, having taken the decision to do some ambassadorial work in the name of the baize in the run up to his first match. Word is that he flies back late on Thursday, his match starts at 2.30pm on Saturday and resumes on Sunday evening. I’ve never suffered greatly with jetlag when I’ve been long-haul but I know that some people do, I’d be surprised if Stephen hasn’t taken all this on board and had the possibility of a Saturday start, to which the draw cruelly obliged, in the back of his mind all along. Whether he is right or not mentally or physically for me however is incidental or as Clive would put it ‘of academic interest only’, as his opponent Ballrun Bingham has proved this season that he is a worthy member of the games elite and on the twelth anniversary (plus a week or so) of their only meeting which also happened here, I think we’ll see a similar if not identical result.
Prediction: Bingham

Luca: Loves his Snooker
Recommended Bet: 2.5 points on Bingham to beat Hendry at Evens with Bet Victor
Stephen Maguire v Luca Brecel
Stephen Maguire was a first round casualty last season to Barry Hawkins making that the first time he’d lost in the first round at the Crucible to anyone other than Ronnie O’Sullivan. His form of late has been as good as it has been in a decade and he has been in confident, if quietly confident mood coming into this, forever dropping hints in interviews that this is the one he wants on his CV. He should have at least had time to recover from the China Open final, which would have sapped the life out even the most patient of humans, which Mags I’m sure will admit he is not. In truth, he coped quite well mentality with the infuriating Ebdon even though he lost. He faces Luca Brecel who carries a nation’s hopes on his young shoulders and is looking very much like a kid with a big future ahead of him after an understandably shaky start to his professional career, he’s obviously a very quick learner. He also seems to have that arrogance and swagger that only the best players have, it’s kind of understated and given his tender years that can only make up for his relative inexperience. He might take to the Crucible like a duck to water, or he might sink like a stone, it’s very much that kind of place. I hope he gives a good account of himself but I can’t realistically see him beating Maguire.
Prediction: Maguire
Graeme Dott v Joe Perry
| Joe Perry |
Graeme Dott |
Players Tour Championship Final 2011 |
15.03.2012 |
Round 2 |
4-2 |
| Joe Perry |
Graeme Dott |
Players Tour Championship 1 2011 |
22.06.2011 |
Semi-final |
4-2 |
| Graeme Dott |
Joe Perry |
Players Tour Championship 6 2010 |
16.10.2010 |
Round 2 |
4-3 |
| Graeme Dott |
Joe Perry |
Welsh Open 2010 |
27.01.2010 |
Round 1 |
5-3 |
| Joe Perry |
Graeme Dott |
888.com World Championship 2008 |
23.04.2008 |
Round 1 |
10-7 |
| Graeme Dott |
Joe Perry |
Grand Prix 2006 |
21.10.2006 |
Robin round |
3-2 |
| Joe Perry |
Graeme Dott |
Regal Scottish Open 2002 |
06.04.2002 |
Round 2 |
5-4 |
| Graeme Dott |
Joe Perry |
Stan James British Open 2001 |
29.09.2001 |
Round 3 |
5-4 |
| Joe Perry |
Graeme Dott |
China International 1999 |
11.12.1999 |
Round 1 |
5-3 |
Although on paper this might look to some like a run of the mill kind of match compared to some of the others, I reckon this could be a hidden gem and possibly very close too. Both have experience of the event and venue, Perry a former semi-finalist, Dott a former winner and twice runner-up, for me the signs are there that this could be a belter. As we know Graeme is the ultimate competitor and he has been very busy this season in the PTC’s and the like while Joe has been steadily finding his game after a period in the doldrums, peaking just in time for this. They are two players that are benefiting from being full-time snooker players rather than part-time and with them both in reasonable form I think this will come down to who holds themself together the best at the end, for me that has to be Dott, but the handicap bet below is strongly recommended.
Prediction: Dott
Recommended Bet: 4 points on Perry (+3.5 frames) at 8/11 with Betfred
Quarter Two: The Ace to lead the Chasing Pack?
Shaun Murphy v Jamie Jones
| Shaun Murphy |
Jamie Jones |
Grand Prix 2006 |
24.10.2006 |
Robin round |
3-2 |
No head to heads of note to go on here and another great unknown as one of the Crucible debutants takes to the baize in Welshman, Jamie Jones. Again, I reiterate that this venue is like no other, which is why we should fight tooth and nail to keep this great championship here, some such as Steve Davis and Hendry will love it immediately, some will hate it and grow to love it as John Higgins did and some will hate it and never play their best here, like countless others. Shaun we know loves it here, he’s shamelessly big on tradition and that is where myself and him share some very common ground. Jones absolutely hammered Ricky Walden in the qualifiers and only last month beat John Higgins on TV in the PTC Grand Finals, he is a player most definitely on the up and what I would best describe as a potential banana skin (one of Ebdon’s discarded ones perhaps) for the ex-champion. It takes a special player to come here for the first time and beat one of the big hitters, I think Jamie will give it a good go but I have to side with Murphy.
Prediction: Murphy
Stephen Lee v Andrew Higginson
| Stephen Lee |
Andrew Higginson |
Players Tour Championship Final 2011 |
18.03.2012 |
Semi-final |
4-2 |
| Stephen Lee |
Andrew Higginson |
Players Tour Championship 6 2011 |
01.10.2011 |
Round 2 |
4-1 |
| Stephen Lee |
Andrew Higginson |
Players Tour Championship 1 2011 |
21.06.2011 |
Round 2 |
4-1 |
| Andrew Higginson |
Stephen Lee |
Euro Players Tour Championship 1 2010 |
28.08.2010 |
Round 2 |
4-3 |
| Stephen Lee |
Andrew Higginson |
Players Tour Championship 1 2010 |
26.06.2010 |
Round 3 |
4-2 |
| Andrew Higginson |
Stephen Lee |
Welsh Open 2010 |
22.01.2010 |
q-Round 4 |
5-3 |
| Stephen Lee |
Andrew Higginson |
Welsh Open 2008 |
13.02.2008 |
Round 2 |
5-3 |
This one shouldn’t take long between two players that like to get on with it. Andrew returns after a three year absence from the Crucible having had something of a yo-yo type of season. The high of winning a PTC earlier in the season tempered with a 5-4 defeat in Germany from 4-0 up against Ronnie O’Sullivan and failure to qualify for the Welsh and China Opens, the latter after a surprising defeat to Jimmy White might have led a few to question if he’d make it back here this year. But a solid win over Peter Lines has got him this tie with one of the players of the season, Lee. Stephen to me is not only back to his best at the moment, I actually think he’s better than he has ever been. His recent run has been testament to the work he has put in under Hearn and when he’s in full flight he remains one of the best players on earth to watch. He’s beaten Andrew three times this season in lesser events but I don’t see any reason why we’ll not see the same outcome here on the biggest stage of them all.
Prediction: Lee
Recommended Bet: 2 points on Lee (-2.5) at 8/11 with Paddy Power
Ali Carter v Mark Davis
| Mark Davis |
Allister Carter |
Players Tour Championship 5 2010 |
08.10.2010 |
Round 1 |
4-2 |
| Allister Carter |
Mark Davis |
Welsh Open 2010 |
25.01.2010 |
Round 1 |
5-1 |
| Allister Carter |
Mark Davis |
Northern Ireland Trophy 2008 |
28.08.2008 |
Round 3 |
5-2 |
| Mark Davis |
Allister Carter |
European Open 2003 |
11.03.2003 |
q-Round 5 |
5-4 |
| Allister Carter |
Mark Davis |
British Open 2002 |
09.11.2002 |
Round 1 |
5-3 |
We all know about Ali’s off the table issues this season but the Carter camp remain upbeat about his chances in this. He faces one of the most dangerous of the qualifiers without a doubt in terms of his ranking but a player with only two wins here under his belt in the last 16 years, the excuisitely nicknamed Dark Mavis (go on Rob Walker, you know it makes sense). He had an excellent win to get here over stablemate Rob Milkins and I’m sure won’t be unhappy at all to draw a player that a lot of people have down as one of the most at risk seeds of the round. Ali gained a couple of confidence boosting wins recently in China and for me hasn’t played all that bad even when he has lost this season. His familiarity with the venue is a major plus for me here and I think that will tell if it gets tight which it just might.
Prediction: Carter
Recommended Bet: 3 points on Carter at 4/6 with Paddy Power
Judd Trump v Dominic Dale
| Judd Trump |
Dominic Dale |
UK Championship 2011 |
05.12.2011 |
Round 1 |
6-4 |
Judd’s adventure begins with a meeting with a Spaceman, that sounds a bit like the opening line of a children’s book doesn’t it? Dominic will no doubt be trying to match young Judders in the attire stakes here but can he match him on the table? They had a meeting just before Christmas in the UK which Judd was actually in the end quite fortunate to win, the naughtiest snooker player there is then going on to win the whole thing and coin the catchphrase that pays in that very week. Judd’s form coming into this, and indeed since January has been a bit hit and miss, but one thing he just doesn’t do nowadays is lose to lower ranked players in major events, he just doesn’t. It doesn’t happen. The record books are stacked in his favour and I think he’ll probably win this one in a canter and send Dom back into Orbit.
Prediction: Trump
Recommended Bet: 2.5 points on Trump (-4.5 frames) at Evens with Paddy Power
Quarter Three: Does The Rocket have The Fuel?
Mark Williams v Liu Chuang
| Mark Williams |
Liu Chuang |
Euro Players Tour Championship 2 2010 |
02.10.2010 |
Round 3 |
4-2 |

Looks nothing like him.
The Chinese Stephen Hendry 21 year old Liu Chuang comes here for the second time after a debut in 2008 when he lost 10-5 to Ronnie O’Sullivan. The draw has been just as kind to him here as he faces MJW, who although slipping up a couple of times in this round down the years must be considered a player that most would not want at this stage. He will be looking ahead at matches later in the event with the bigger names around him, one in particular who he is determined to beat in Round 2. Liu however is becoming a very good player and his run in the qualifiers will stand him in good stead to make a good fight of this. One thing I will say however is that he often needs quite a few chances to put frames to rest and doesn’t win many in one visit, MJW generally only needs one decent chance or a couple of half decent ones per frame to wrap them up in no time so I can only see one winner here, the handicap on Liu is worth a look though.
Prediction: Williams
Recommended Bet: 2.5 points on Chuang (+5.5 frames) at 8/11 with Betfred
Ronnie O’Sullivan v Peter Ebdon (Head to Bald Head only since 1994)
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
World Open 2010 |
26.09.2010 |
Semi-final |
3-1 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
The Masters 2010 |
14.01.2010 |
Quarter-final |
6-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
UK Championship 2009 |
08.12.2009 |
Round 2 |
9-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
The Masters 2006 |
19.01.2006 |
Quarter-final |
6-2 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Embassy World Championship 2005 |
27.04.2005 |
Quarter-final |
13-11 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Citywest Irish Masters 2004 |
21.03.2004 |
Quarter-final |
6-2 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
European Open 2003 |
11.03.2003 |
Semi-final |
6-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
Premier League 2002/03 |
11.01.2003 |
Robin round |
5-3 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
UK Championship 2001 |
03.12.2001 |
Quarter-final |
9-8 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
LG Cup 2001 |
12.10.2001 |
Quarter-final |
5-4 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Champions Cup 2001 |
11.08.2001 |
Robin round |
5-1 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
Embassy World Championship 2001 |
21.04.2001 |
Quarter-final |
13-6 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
Citywest Irish Masters 2001 |
27.03.2001 |
Semi-final |
6-3 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
British Open 2000 |
01.10.2000 |
Quarter-final |
5-3 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Thailand Open 1997 |
10.03.1997 |
Semi-final |
5-1 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
International Open 1997 |
13.02.1997 |
Quarter-final |
5-1 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
Suntory Asian Classic 1996 |
09.09.1996 |
Quarter-final |
5-4 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Embassy World Championship 1996 |
20.04.1996 |
Semi-final |
16-14 |
| Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Peter Ebdon |
Kloster Thailand Open 1995 |
10.03.1995 |
Quarter-final |
5-1 |
| Peter Ebdon |
Ronnie O’Sullivan |
Dubai Duty Free Classic 1994 |
30.09.1994 |
Semi-final |
6-4 |

Any excuse.....
The one that everyone is talking about between the player that can make a 147 in the time it takes the other one to make a 12. Yes, this is the one that the masses have been shouting about, predictions of a Ronnie Meltdown at the hands of the Other Earthly Vegan are in the air following their last unforgettable meeting here in 2005 when just that happened and Ebbo ran off with the spoils. So will the same thing happen again? Will Ebdon slow the pace down so much that Ronnie will wonder if he can hack a whole two weeks of this? My answer? No. Ronnie has played some of his best snooker in a while this season and just looking at the recent head to heads shows that this match was a one-off. I’m sure he will be highly amused at the predictions of doom and gloom and dark clouds over him but for me he’s still a cut above Peter, even with him in undoubtedly great spirits and fine form. Whilst my inner demons and troublemakers would like to see a slow tortuous affair with Ronnie melting before our very eyes while Peter crawls around the table at a snails pace, I can’t see it. It’s Ronnie for me.
Prediction: O’Sullivan
Recommended Bet: 3 points on O’Sullivan to make the highest break of the match at 8/15 with Skybet
Martin Gould v Dave Gilbert
| Martin Gould |
David Gilbert |
Betfred.com World Snooker Championship 2009 |
04.03.2009 |
q-Round 3 |
10-8 |
Martin Gould is in a desperate run of form of late and can’t seem to recapture the form he showed at the start of the season when he was probably the most consistent player there was on the tour for a spell. He is handed a tie against Dave Gilbert and this brings with it it’s own pressures. Gilbert, with due respect is a player that a lot of the seeds might have been happy to draw and I can’t think of one that would not have been a heavy favourite to beat him. That might be the problem here, Gould is expected to win, he might have preferred drawing say, Ebdon, Fu or Mark Davis when it would have been a harder call to make. That might sound a bit daft but being on a long losing streak gets you thinking very irrational things and with Gilbert on a roll of results I wouldn’t be surprised if this is the shock of the round.
Prediction: Gilbert
Recommended Bet: 1 point on Gilbert at 13/5 with Bet 365
Neil Robertson v Ken Doherty
| Neil Robertson |
Ken Doherty |
Grand Prix 2009 |
07.10.2009 |
Round 2 |
5-2 |
| Ken Doherty |
Neil Robertson |
Shanghai Masters 2009 |
08.09.2009 |
Round 1 |
5-4 |
| Ken Doherty |
Neil Robertson |
Malta Cup 2008 |
08.02.2008 |
Robin round |
5-1 |
| Neil Robertson |
Ken Doherty |
Grand Prix 2006 |
23.10.2006 |
Robin round |
3-2 |
| Ken Doherty |
Neil Robertson |
China Open 2006 |
21.03.2006 |
Round 1 |
5-4 |
| Neil Robertson |
Ken Doherty |
European Open 2004 |
01.03.2004 |
Round 1 |
5-3 |
As you can probably tell from the title of this preview and the image at the top, it’s fairly obvious who I think will win here. Ken does have a good record against Neil but his wins for me came before Robbo took that next step up to being a great player rather than a very good one. You can read my thoughts on the outright market below but suffice to say I think we’ll be seeing more of Robbo.
Prediction: Robertson
Quarter Four: Full of Eastern Promise?
Ding Junhui v Ryan Day
| Ding Junhui |
Ryan Day |
Players Tour Championship 2 2011 |
10.08.2011 |
Quarter-final |
4-2 |
| Ding Junhui |
Ryan Day |
Wuzhoo International Jiangsu Classic 2009 |
05.06.2009 |
Robin round |
2-0 |
| Ding Junhui |
Ryan Day |
Matchroom Championship League 2009 |
06.01.2009 |
Robin round |
3-1 |
| Ding Junhui |
Ryan Day |
Jiangsu Snooker Classic 2008 |
06.06.2008 |
Semi-final |
4-0 |
| Ding Junhui |
Ryan Day |
UK Championship 2006 |
10.12.2006 |
Round 2 |
9-7 |
For me, Ding is now the worst draw a player can get in Round 1. His last two Round 1 victories have been wins of 10-1 and 10-2 and total demolition jobs. Ryan Day I’m sure will have looked at the draw with a certain degree of annoyance and frustration. Add to that the head to head between the pair, Ding again totally dominant and Ryan is going to have to turn the history and the form books both on their collective heads to stand a chance here. After a poor run of results he came back well from behind in the qualifiers to defeat Gerard Greene, but Ding at the Crucible is a very different kettle of fish indeed. I’d have Ding as the best bet of the round and considering Boylesports have him priced at 2/7 when the likes of Trump are 1/10 in places, if you can get that bet on to the stake you want I’d have it.
Predicted: Ding
Recommended Bet: 3 points on Ding (-3.5 frames) at 9/10 with Boylesports
Mark Allen v Cao Yupeng
Another Crucible debutant, the improving Chinese player Cao Yupeng lines up against the Northern Ireland firecracker and cat-lover Mark Allen. Cao has been steadily improving his results all season and this is the first time he has lined up at a main venue as a professional player, though he has had wildcard appearances in the past in China. Allen recently upset the entire Chinese nation with comments about their levels of hygiene and manners but then ran off with the first prize in the World Open. He is another that represents as tough a first round draw as there is and has only ever been beaten once at this stage, 10-9 by Stephen Hendry, I think he’ll be a comfortable winner here.
Prediction: Allen
Recommended Bet: 3 points on Allen (-4.5 frames) at 9/10 with Boylesports
Matthew Stevens v Marco Fu
| Matthew Stevens |
Marco Fu |
Players Tour Championship 9 2011 |
12.11.2011 |
Round 2 |
4-3 |
| Marco Fu |
Matthew Stevens |
Maplin UK Championship 2008 |
16.12.2008 |
Round 2 |
9-5 |
| Marco Fu |
Matthew Stevens |
China Open 2007 |
29.03.2007 |
Round 2 |
5-3 |
| Marco Fu |
Matthew Stevens |
Welsh Open 2004 |
19.01.2004 |
Round 2 |
5-2 |
| Matthew Stevens |
Marco Fu |
British Open 2002 |
09.11.2002 |
Round 2 |
5-2 |
| Marco Fu |
Matthew Stevens |
China Open 2002 |
24.02.2002 |
Round 1 |
5-4 |
Another potential cracker on the cards here between two experienced campaigners. Matthew has had most of his finest and most miserable moments on the baize here and even last year he served up some more drama losing in a dramatic first round match against Mark Allen in a decider. Marco Fu found himself with the diminuitive figure of Joe Jogia to beat to get here, which he duly did 10-4. Their head to heads don’t tell us much and their recent form is more or less the same, in that they are winning and losing matches in equal measure. For me, this one will come down to the form on the day and simply on the fact that I think overall he has been the better player over the last couple of seasons of the two I’m going to plump for Matthew.
Prediction: Stevens
Mark Selby v Barry Hawkins
| Mark Selby |
Barry Hawkins |
Players Tour Championship 8 2011 |
23.10.2011 |
Round 4 |
4-1 |
| Barry Hawkins |
Mark Selby |
World Open 2010 |
19.09.2010 |
q-Round 3 |
3-2 |
| Mark Selby |
Barry Hawkins |
Players Tour Championship 3 2010 |
08.08.2010 |
Quarter-final |
4-3 |
| Barry Hawkins |
Mark Selby |
Northern Ireland Trophy 2007 |
07.11.2007 |
Round 2 |
5-4 |

Panic Over: It's a thumbs up from Mark.
The match at the bottom of the draw sees World Number One Mark Selby up against Barry Hawkins who has actually been an ever present starter at the Crucible for the past 6 seasons winning his first ever match here last season against Maguire before losing a decider against Mark Allen in the Last 16. Selby had to withdraw from a match against Ding in the China Open because of a neck injury and there has been much talk that all is not right with the Jester from Leicester, but he’s finally assured his adoring fans today that he’s fine and they can all stop worrying. I think Selby will quite enjoy the fact that a lot of people have already written his chances off in this given his lack of trophy success this season, I also think that might result in him putting in some good performances and one thing about him is that he is very consistent and a good starter to tournaments. He should win this and I think he’ll probably make the Quarter Finals, but that is where I see it start to get harder for him.
Prediction: Selby
Recommended Bet: 2 points on Selby (-2.5 frames) at 8/11 with Paddy Power
Recommended Multiple Bets:
4 points Acca on: Higgins, Maguire, Murphy, Trump, Ding, Allen and Selby pays an SB Enhanced 5/2 at Boylesports
Add Williams, Robertson and O’Sullivan for a 2 point Acca at an SB Enhanced 5/1 at Boylesports
Add Lee for a 2 point Acca at an SB Enhanced 7/1 at Boylesports
Outright Thoughts

Ding - Big Chance
Regulars will know that I have already recommended one bet on the championship. This came during the recent PTC Grand Final event in Galway and it was a bet on Neil Robertson. He remains my main man for the championship, he has been the best player this season for me and often that translates into the player that wins it as it has for the last two seasons. Robbo has a tough opener against Ken and then a possible rematch against Martin Gould, who famously had him reaching for his suitcase and hair straighteners to pack off home before the Aussie came back to beat him in a memorable match that Gould has never been able to watch back, Neil going on to become champion from there. His draw could have been easier and Ronnie, Ebdon or Mark Williams will be a likely quarter final opponent, but Neil has shown that he can mix it with grinders and potters and for me has the all-round game and form to see this event through, I also believe he is a better player now than when he won it.
I am convinced that the winner will come from the bottom half of the draw and my second selection is Ding Junhui. I feel that he is ready to take that step further and will need to be outplayed by anyone that wants to stop him this year. He’s not had that taxing a season and has been a bit in and out but he can usually be relied upon to be in good shape for this. That said I think the key to who may meet Robbo in the semi-finals will be his possible match up with another potential winner in my eyes Mark Allen in the Last 16, a real mouthwatering match should that happen. Allen has played some of his best stuff at the Crucible and clearly enjoys the venue, now that he’s won a ranking event he’s definitely ready to win again, but he has a very tough draw and whoever comes out of that bottom quarter will have done it the hard way. While I marginally favour Ding, I think it’s wise to hedge a bit on Allen as I think the winner of that match will reach the semis. I just hope that with all the tough matches both semi-finalists in the bottom section will have had they will be in a fit state to slog out a best of 33 followed by a best of 35, I’m sure they will.
Up in the top half of the draw there will be those who think Judd Trump is as good as in the semi-finals already, but for me that is utter nonsense. He will be confident of winning his first and his second matches, though a return to some kind of form from Ali Carter would present an obstacle, Ali is making confident noises and he’s a former finalist who loves the venue. If Judd does progress however, he may face former winner Shaun Murphy or Stephen Lee. I have backed Lee at 66/1 and although I don’t think he has the game to win it he may well give Judd a nasty surprise in the quarter finals if this match pans out, like I say I can’t realistically see him winning the whole thing but I’d rather have him at the price I have or to some extent the price he is now than the ridiculously short-odds on Judd. He may well blow everyone away again, but it’s difficult to come back just twelve months after such a performance and do it all over again, he also comes into this not in the kind of form he was last year. Judds price, whether he wins it or not is a bookies price, not a punters one. Up in the top section, I don’t fancy John Higgins at all this year and think he might struggle to reach the semi-finals, I can hear cries of ‘write him off at your peril’ from his faithful fans but for me his game isn’t right and I think last season took more out of him than he may have thought. Stephen Maguire has been in fine form recently and I was considering flagging him as the winner of this quarter and therefore an each-way outright punt, but his price is now another that for me is unbackable for a player short on Crucible pedigree in the latter stages and a questionable temperament. So instead the consistently under-rated and dogged Graeme Dott gets the vote at a very decent price indeed. His record against Mags is good and he has beaten him comfortably here over 25 frames, he loves the venue and saves his best for it and I think that’s the match that will decide the quarter.
Outright Recommended Bets:
(Previously Recommended) 5 points on Neil Robertson at 9/1 with Boylesports
3 points on Ding Junhui at 12/1 with Boylesports
2 points on Mark Allen at 14/1 (general)
1 point each-way on Stephen Lee at 28/1 with Boylesports
0.5 points each-way on Graeme Dott at 40/1 with Boylesports
Boylesports are paying 1/2 the odds 1-2 or 1/5 the odds 1234 on the each way market.
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All photos are courtesy of Monique Limbos and World Snooker