Snookerbacker

October 24, 2014

International Championship Preview

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 11:10 am

Int ChampsSunday sees the start of undoubtedly the best tournament China has to offer both in terms of prize money and format. Even in its short time on the circuit the International Championship is now firmly established as one of snooker’s biggest events.

In fact, since they butchered and ruined the UK Championship format, I’d say this is actually a more prestigious title to hold, the money is the same after all. Add to that it’s got long matches from the start and two session semi-finals and the bluff old traditionalist anoraks like me are dancing in the streets with ecstatic abandon clutching our almanacs.

Another bonus is that Ronnie O’Sullivan is in it, OK he might not last long, he rarely does these days when he’s over there but he’s in the hat and faces Ben Woollaston first up. Interestingly but perhaps not suprisingly our Ronald doesn’t make the editors cut on the promotional posters, will they rue the day they missed his moody boat race off the visuals? Maybe.

The two glaring absentees over in Chengdu however are World Champion Mark Selby and the increasingly elusive Ding Junhui. Selby was toppled by the man of the moment, boy wonder Oli Lines and the holder Ding lost to fellow Chinese player Wang Zepeng, meaning that the home crowd are left wondering where he’s got to for the second time this season. Barnsley has a lot to answer for. Let’s just hope this gaping void does not further effect the poor crowds which seem to be commonplace in Chinese events when he isn’t there.

The draw for the final stages, which unfortunately includes unnecessary wildcards who don’t deserve a place in the tournament can be viewed on My First PDF at World Snooker by clicking here. The match schedule is listed below.

In terms of the outrights, the bookies are taking no chances whatsoever with Ronnie, I was surprised when clicking on the prices to see him so short given his recent forays in China have not exactly been hugely successful and that his form coming into this is largely unknown (and he’s not on the poster which automatically rules him out of course), he can be backed anywhere between 2/1 and 10/3 but that’s no sort of price for me, he’s not a bet in this even if he turns it on, which would be totally at odds with what he’s done here for quite a few years now.

It’s always worth considering a Chinese player to do well and the 66/1 about Xiao Guodong, who for me is the second best player China has at the moment is worth a small wager. He’s been to a ranking final in China before and is more than capable of doing so again with the home crowd behind him.

My habit of backing Alan McManus for nearly everything this season shows no sign of disappearing, I still think he’ll win something, though knowing my luck it will be the shootout or something like that, but the 175/1 on him, even though he may face Ronnie in Round 2 (who he beat last time they met in China) is big enough to tempt me in again.

Another old geezer who appears to be coming back to form and who has history of winning tournaments in China when you least expect it is Peter Ebdon, who can be backed as big as 250/1 if you have a good look around. It would be hard for any fan to accept that Ebdon will never grace the winners mantle again, he may not be everyone’s favourite to watch, not me I hasten to add as I find his unique shot selection quite fascinating, but he’s one of snooker’s biggest characters and only the harshest fan would begrudge him another title or two before he hangs up his carrot bag.

In terms of a more realistic winner, I have to plump for Mark Allen. His form is solid, he’s on a good winning streak and he represents a bit of value in the market given his draw and the absence of Ding in the top half. It’s also probably worth covering that with one of the poster boys and as Shaun Murphy is in sparkling form and he’s a generous 14/1, let’s have a punt on him aswell for the heck of it.

It’s very early in the morning for us Europeans to be up watching the first session and that is the biggest drawback of this championship as you don’t really get to see a lot of it unless you live the week on China Time. There will be plenty of coverage throughout the week on Eurosport though for insomniacs and early risers everywhere.

Recommended Outright Bets: 2 points each way Mark Allen at 14/1. 2 points win on Shaun Murphy at 14/1. 1 point each way on Alan McManus at 175/1. 1 point each way on Xiao Guodong at 66/1. 0.5 points each way on Peter Ebdon at 250/1.  

Recommended Match Acca: 3 points at over 11/2 with Boyles on Ryan Day, Alan McManus, Kyren Wilson and Matthew Stevens. Add Peter Ebdon for 2 points at over 8/1 with the same firm. Add Mark Williams for 1 point at almost 11/1 with Corals. 2 points on Zak Surety to beat Dave Gilbert at 5/2.

Sunday

1.30am
Stuart Bingham v Robbie Williams
Barry Hawkins v Jimmy White
Jamie Jones v Zhao Xintong
Oli Lines v Huang Jiahao
Martin Gould v Joel Walker
Mark Joyce v Ryan Day

6.30am
John Higgins v Li Hang
Oliver Brown v Mark Williams
Joe Swail v Yan Bingtao
Mitchell Mann v Niu Zhuang
Alan McManus v Anthony McGill
Aditya Mehta v Michael White

11.30am
Ben Woollaston v Ronnie O’Sullivan
Nigel Bond v Mark Allen
Craig Steadman v Graeme Dott
Dominic Dale v Ian Burns
Dechawat Poomjaeng v Dark Mavis
Sam Baird v Kyren Wilson

Monday

1.30am
Shaun Murphy v Yu Delu
Wang ZePeng v Mitchell Mann/Niu Zhuang
Noppon Saengkham v Stephen Maguire
Andrew Pagett v Peter Ebdon
Dave Gilbert v Zak Surety
Jamie Jones/Zhao Xintong v Kurt Maflin

6.30am
Neil Robertson v Matt Selt
Marco Fu v Liam Highfield
Zhou Yuelong v Chris Melling
Matthew Stevens v Jamie Burnett
Fergal O’Brien v Thepchaiya Un-Nooh
Joe Swail/Yan Bingtao v Andrew Higginson

11.30am
Jimmy Robertson v Judd Trump
Xiao Guodong v Eden Sharav
David Morris v Ricky Walden
Joe Perry v Mike Dunn
Barry Pinches v Robert Milkins
Rod Lawler v Oli Lines/Huang Jiahao

October 5, 2014

Bulgarian Open: Finals Day in Sofia

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 7:44 am

It’s Finals Day over in Sofia and here is a run down of what to expect today. The first match on TV at 8am British time is the one between The Whirlwind and Shaun Murphy. We still have Murphy (16/1) and Alan McManus (100/1 e/w) in the hunt bettingwise so fingers crossed on those.

8am

Mark Selby v Robbie Williams
Shaun Murphy v Jimmy White
Michael White v Jimmy Robertson
Luca Brecel v Mark King
Ricky Walden v Martin Gould
Mark Davis v Alan McManus
Joe Perry v Peter Ebdon
Michael Wasley v Judd Trump

11am

Quarter Finals
Mark Selby/Robbie Williams v Shaun Murphy/Jimmy White
Michael White/Jimmy Robertson v Luca Brecel/Mark King
Ricky Walden/Martin Gould v Mark Davis/Alan McManus
Joe Perry/Peter Ebdon v Michael Wasley/Judd Trump


2pm

Semi Finals

6pm

Final

October 2, 2014

Bulgarian Open Preview

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 12:49 pm
An understated entrance.

An understated entrance.

Sofia it is that stages the third European Tour Championship event of the season in what now has become an established stop for the snooker tour bus.

Talking of buses, take a look at the way a few of the amateur boys have been arriving at the venue. The picture accompanying this post shows none other than my pal Syd Wilson in this plush, ever-so-slightly camp, blinged-up bus which is ferrying the potters to and from the airport, mirrorballs and all.

You can almost hear the smooooth tones of Barry White, the old Walrus of Love, in the background as the Bulgarian ladies throw their knickers and themselves into the arms of these bussed up baize boys. It puts me in mind of the old Bolton Stud and snooker’s greatest ever shagger Tony Knowles from back in the day…how the other half live eh?

Anyway, I’m sure all these distractions won’t stop them from getting serious on the table and Eurosport are also there to cover all the action (from the table, not the bus) from Friday while Syd and the gang try and qualify to that stage through the amateur rounds beforehand.

Looking at the draw, I’ll take one player from each section, all of whom I think have a very decent chance of making it to the Finals Day on Sunday and two of whom are priced in three figures.

In the top section, despite a tricky first round tie against Joel Walker I’ll plump for Shaun Murphy, a favourite with the European crowds who usually ends up winning an event like this each season. In section 2 and given his first round bye and what I’d class as a very winnable path to the last 16 I’m going for Rod Lawler, he’s in good form and like a fine wine is getting better with age.

Another player fitting the fine wine category is Alan McManus, shooting up the rankings and enjoying a resurgence in his career. Angles narrowly missed landing a massive each way gamble last time I flagged him up and I’m keeping the faith with the tartan trousered one. Finally, you have to respect the chances of Neil Robertson who barring accidents must surely land in Finals Day unscathed.

2 x 2 point win bets on Robertson (13/2) and Murphy (16/1). 1 x 1 point e/w at 1/4 odds 1-2-3-4 with Skybet on Lawler (150/1) and McManus (100/1)

Click here for the draw – the times below are UK times.

Friday 7.30am

Mark Selby v Barry Pinches
Joe Swail v Jeff Jacobs
Nigel Bond v Peter Lines
Fraser Patrick v Alex Taubman
Matthew Selt v Sam Harvey
David Gilbert v Mitchell Mann
Robbie Williams v Hammad Miah
Robert Milkins v Christopher Keogan
Kyren Wilson v Josh Boileau
Stuart Carrington w/o Tony Drago  

Approx 9am

Stephen Maguire w/o Dave Harold
James Cahill w/o Robin Hull
Michael Leslie v Zak Surety
Jimmy White v Sydney Wilson
Dechawat Poomjaeng v Matthew Day
Fergal O’Brien v Ahmed Saif

Approx 9.30am

Mark Joyce v Ryan Clark
Sam Baird v Ashley Hugill
Luca Brecel v Craig Steadman
Liam Highfield v Adam Duffy

Approx 10.30am

Shaun Murphy v Joel Walker
Mark King v Alex Borg
Thepchaiya Un-Nooh v Kurt Maflin
Anthony McGill v Lee Walker

Approx 11am

Chris Wakelin v Nico Elton
Noppon Saengkham v Elliot Slessor
Dominic Dale v Vinnie Calabrese
Dark Mavis v Michael Georgiou

Approx 12pm

Mike Dunn v Tom Ford
Gary Wilson v Ken Doherty
Jak Jones v Alfie Burden
Alan McManus v Kacper Filipiak

FOLLOWED BY LATER ROUNDS

Saturday 7.30am

Rod Lawler w/o Allister Carter
Ben Woollaston v Andrew Pagett
Anthony Hamilton v Rory McLeod
Michael White v Ian Burns
Jamie Cope v Thomas J Dowling
Michael Holt v Tomasz Skalski
Jimmy Robertson v Alex Davies
Aditya Mehta v Mitchell Travis
Stuart Bingham v David Grace
Martin Gould v Ross Muir

Approx 9am

Ricky Walden v Gareth Allen
Ryan Day w/o Jamie Burnett
Jack Lisowski v Jeff Cundy
Mark Williams v Oliver Lines
Jamie Jones v Alexander Ursenbacher
Marco Fu v Chris Norbury

Approx 9.30am

Tian Pengfei v Andrew Higginson
Barry Hawkins v Sanderson Lam
Matthew Stevens v Ben Jones
Scott Donaldson w/o Steve Mifsud

Approx 10.30am

Xiao Guodong v Joe Perry
Neil Robertson v Steven Hallworth
Gerard Greene v Eden Sharav
Chris Melling v Grzegorz Biemadski

Approx 11am

Peter Ebdon v Paul Davison
Michael Wasley v John Astley
Allan Taylor v Lee Page
Liang Wenbo v Lyu Haotian

Approx 12pm

Graeme Dott v Brandon Sargeant
Ian Glover v Ratchayothin Yotharuck
John Higgins v Michael Williams
Judd Trump v Ashley Carty

FOLLOWED BY LATER ROUNDS

October 1, 2014

Snookerbacker Classic Outright Prices Now Available

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 11:52 am

It’s the highest profile amateur tournament on the snooker circuit and ahead of the start of the 2015 Snookerbacker Classic on 1st November, Boylesports have today priced up the odds on next year’s champion.

Paul ‘Snowy’ Davison heads the field at 9/1 favourite, with last season’s champion Ant Parsons second favourite at 10/1 to retain his title.

2012 champion Martin O’Donnell is 11/1 while recent International Championship qualifier and SB Classic debutant Eden Sharav is 12/1.

SB2015 A4 Poster1 with amends

There are a host of familiar and not so familiar amateur names in there and it’s probably the most open Classic ever (god, I sound like Bazza)…anyway, if you fancy a punt on the tournament click here to view the prices.

There are still some places left in Preston and Leeds events in November and the first players to pay the entry fee will nab them, don’t miss out, you’ll regret it when it gets under way just have plenty have before.

To see why this is a ‘must enter’ click here and to get your fee in for Preston (3 places left) or Leeds (6 places left) click here.

September 25, 2014

Hearn Denies Wrongdoing in Qualifying Match

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 7:46 am
Troublemaking again

Troublemaking again

Last night, while I was quietly minding my own business I received a text message with the picture accompanying this post on it. Obviously, being an inquisitive, some might argue persistent pain in the arse type of person, I went public with it on Twitter.

Almost immediately and after several retweets from people far more interesting than I am, I started receiving details via direct messages of what exactly was going on in terms of bets on the match involving Jamie Burnett and Irish amateur player John Sutton, someone who I know personally given his involvement in the SB Classic in 2012.

Oddly, when I first made this public an avalanche, well perhaps that’s over-egging it a bit, more a meandering stream of replies and opinions came back to me presuming that Burnett was ‘at it’. I’m not sure why this was presumed by so many people following Jamie’s acquittal of any wrongdoing in a match a while ago against his mate Mags which involved half of Glasgow correctly guessing the score and also resulted in a midnight visit from Taggart to yours truly.

What transpired and became clear from the direct messages I had been getting was that this was simply not the case, the Twitter sleuths had got the wrong man and it was volume and size of bets on Burnett to win, by a long margin, which were the cause of concern at the bookies.

I received information from a very trusted source (a source said….) that the concerns were based on bets ‘on Burnett -3.5 frames, -4.5 frames and to win 6-0′ from people known to John Sutton. I was also alerted by a totally independent source working in the snooker betting industry (an insider told me…) that a ‘huge bet on 6-0′ had been refused earlier in the day. This later transpired to be a five figure sum.

The people involved will, I’m sure, be forwarding details in a more formal way and through the proper channels to the chairman, Barry Hearn, who as we know talks a tough game when it comes to fixing and fiddling, Stephen Lee would I’m sure testify to that.

But in the meantime, I decided to alert him to the activity in a more informal manner, his response, once it clicked what match I was on about was typically forthright. ‘Total Rubbish!’ he screamed back from behind his desk at Bazza Towers. When pressed further by someone else he barked:

and he then, having misguidedly got into a conversation with Andrew Pagget (never a good idea) claimed that I was attention seeking and had no real idea, both of which are fair points and one of which is certainly true. I’m not sure what his reference to bras was all about but I have lost my shirt on a few bets in the past and I’m all for equality:

So Barry, at least as things were left last night is having none of it, just as he wasn’t in the matches between Steve Davis and Thepchaiya Un-Nooh, Passakorn Suwannawat and Mo Khairy and Thanawat Thirapongpaiboon and Ross Muir, all of which I tweeted an uncannily accurate prediction on before a ball was struck, based on the same evidence as last night. Beginners luck perhaps.

A couple of current and former snooker players also waded in with their opinions, these seemed to be based on what they believed the score would have been regardless of the betting patterns, which of course is a fair point, though does not really take into account the level of interest on this match compared to the others as well as the (I stress unsubstantiated) claims that the big money backing the score was coming from people known to one of the players.

Of course, all this does not necessarily mean that the player had any knowledge of these bets, maybe his mates just think he’s shit or knew he hadn’t been playing well, remember Joe Jogia’s defence that he was hobbling around after falling over pissed so all his mates backed the other fella? That kind of thing.

I like John and I hope this is a storm in a teacup and that Bazza’s refusal to listen to me is a wise move, let’s be honest, I refuse to listen to myself sometimes the way I bang on about stuff. But his approach is one I find quite baffling to be honest, if he genuinely has evidence that the majority of the bets were on 6-1 and 6-2 and that all John’s mates got taken, bra’s and all, to the cleaners, then that’s fine and we can all move on and I’ll be looking for more reliable sources in the future. But if, and it is a big if, he is getting a little confused as to what -3.5 frames (Burnett to win AT LEAST 6-2) and -4.5 frames (Burnett to win AT LEAST 6-1) means then he (or more likely those supplying him with the information) may need to do more homework on how betting works. But surely they can’t be that wet behind the ears? Either way, what industry people are telling me is not the same as what Bazza is being told.

All I can say is that it’s now four times this has happened and results/scores were known to the Twitter community before either player got their stick out. That surely is worthy of looking into in greater depth than a head in the sand 140 character (well, 65 if you want to be picky) point blank and frankly quite rude rebuttal. Isn’t it?

Anyone fancy a Guinness? My round.

September 20, 2014

International Championship Qualifiers Preview

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 9:50 am
Ding won a vase last year.

Ding won a vase last year.

It’s a long way from Chengdu, but Barnsley it is that hosts the first round of the International Championship from Monday. This is a tournament which I enjoy and is the best one China hosts, by virtue of the fact that the matches are a little bit longer with all these ones being the best of eleven frames, making them a much more enticing betting proposition. The prize money on offer also ranks this right up there with the majors.

There are 64 matches in all to be played out with all the major players involved, apart of course from Ali Carter whose recovery is now thankfully complete. He’ll be getting back into the cockpit for the Bulgarian PTC and we can’t wait to welcome him back to the snooker world after his incredibly brave fight against his health problems.

Below I have listed the matches as they are played. There will be coverage on the usual betting sites as well as the World Snooker TV live channel.

There are plenty of betting opportunities available so we’ll see if we can continue the good run from the Shanghai Masters. The fact that these are best of 11 means for me, this is one of the best betting few days of the season.

If you want to view head to heads, where there is one, just click on the match and take a look, courtesy of Cue Tracker. Note that a lot of these matches are first time meetings.

(S) denotes live streamed matches.

Monday 22nd of September 

9.30am

Peter Lines v Mitchell Mann
Aditya Mehta v James Wattana (S)
Michael White v Sean O’Sullivan (S)
Dominic Dale v Vinnie Calabrese
Jack Lisowski v Ian Burns
Cao Yupeng v Craig Steadman

Predicted Winners: Mann, Mehta, White, Dale, Lisowski, Steadman.

2.30pm

Ding Junhui v Wang ZePeng (S)
Graeme Dott v Lee Page
Robbie Williams v Ahmed Saif
Mark Williams v Scott Donaldson (S)
Luca Brecel v Chris Melling

Predicted Winners: Ding, Dott, Williams, Williams, Melling.

7.30pm

Mark Joyce v Lu Ning
Ken Doherty v Joel Walker (S)
Kurt Maflin v Elliot Slessor
Neil Robertson v Alex Borg (S)
Matthew Selt v Alex Pagulayan

Predicted Winners: Joyce, Walker, Maflin, Robertson, Selt.

Tuesday 23rd of September 

9.30am

Ryan Day v Lu Haotian (S)
Martin Gould v Cao XinLong
Nigel Bond v Joe O’Connor
Barry Hawkins v Ratchayothin Yotharuck (S)
Jamie Cope v Oliver Brown
Kyren Wilson v Ross Muir

Predicted Winners: Day, Gould, Bond, Hawkins, Cope, Wilson.

2.30pm

Stuart Bingham v Michael Wasley (S)
Jimmy White v Alex Davies
Michael Holt v Sam Baird (S)
Dechawat Poomjaeng v Steven Hallworth
Mark King v Zak Surety

Predicted Winners: Bingham, White, Holt, Poomjaeng, King.

7.30pm

Dark Mavis v Lee Walker (S)
John Higgins v Stuart Carrington (S)
Gary Wilson v Li Hang
Jamie Jones v Zhang Anda
Alan McManus v Michael Georgiou

Predicted Winners: Mavis, Higgins, Wilson, Jones, McManus.

Wednesday 24th of September 

9.30am

Anthony McGill v Ashley Carty
Ben Woollaston v Sydney Wilson
Tom Ford v Joe Swail
Andrew Higginson v Chris Wakelin
Liang Wenbo v Zhou Yuelong (S)
Ricky Walden v Lu Chenwei (S)

Predicted Winners: McGill, Woollaston, Swail, Wakelin, Wenbo, Walden.

2.30pm

David Morris v John Astley
Joe Perry v Chris Norbury (S)
Mike Dunn v Matthew Day
Rory McLeod v Andrew Pagett
Judd Trump v Ian Glover (S)

Predicted Winners: Morris, Perry, Dunn, McLeod, Trump.

7.30pm

Peter Ebdon v David Grace
Matthew Stevens v Michael Leslie (S)
Jamie Burnett v John Sutton
Jimmy Robertson v Hammad Miah
Mark Selby v Oliver Lines (S)

Predicted Winners: Ebdon, Stevens, Burnett, Robertson, Selby.

Thursday 25th of September 

9.30am

Mark Allen v Nico Elton (S)
Yu Delu v Brandon Sargeant 
Marcus Campbell v Barry Pinches
Robert Milkins v Daniel Wells (S)
Xiao Guodong v Alexander Ursenbacher
Gerard Greene v Eden Sharav

Predicted Winners: Allen, Delu, Pinches, Milkins, Guodong, Sharav.

2.30pm

Shaun Murphy v Allan Taylor (S)
Alfie Burden v Noppon Saengkham
Stephen Maguire v Liu Chuang (S)
Anthony Hamilton v Liam Highfield
Dave Gilbert v Mark Owens

Predicted Winners: Murphy, Saengkham, Maguire, Hamilton, Gilbert.

7.30pm

Ronnie O’Sullivan v James Cahill (S)
Marco Fu v Shane Castle (S)
Fergal O’Brien v Fraser Patrick
Thepchaiya Un-Nooh v Andrew Norman
Rod Lawler v Tian Pengfei

Predicted Winners: O’Sullivan, Fu, O’Brien, Un-Nooh, Lawler.

Betting:

Betting on this set of matches is very much about what type of gambler you are. Do you prefer to risk high stakes at lower odds or lower stakes at medium to high odds when looking at accumulators? which is surely the way to go with so many matches over this distance. Or, do you want the value and the singles and doubles on odds against shots? Well, there is something for everyone here so the recommended bets will deal with each of these types of punt. Starting with your main acca on my idea of the safest propositions amongst the 64.

Recommended Bets:

4 points acca on Ding Junhui, Graeme Dott, Robbie Williams, Matt Selt, Neil Robertson, Barry Hawkins, Dark Mavis, Anthony McGill, Judd Trump, Joe Perry, Xiao Guodong, Mark Allen, Robert Milkins, Yu Delu, Shaun Murphy and Dave Gilbert pays over 8/1 with Boyles.

2 points acca on Michael White, Aditya Mehta, Mark Williams, Jamie Cope, Nigel Bond, Ryan Day, Kyren Wilson, Michael Holt, Alan McManus and Mike Dunn pays over 22/1 at Hills. Add Anthony McGill and Thepchaiya Un-Nooh for a 1 point acca which pays over 37/1 at the same firm.

2 point singles on each of the following: Mitchell Mann (7/4), Joel Walker (11/10), Chris Wakelin (15/8), Joe Swail (6/4). 4 points on Barry Pinches (5/4). 

September 12, 2014

Shanghai Masters Finals Weekend

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 5:13 pm

As so often happens, it all worked out in the wash. Despite the shocks of the week we still have four big names contesting the semi-finals and the likelihood of a great final whoever comes through.

I’ll just sit back now and hope that Mark Allen can kick on and land the 16/1 recommended bet but in truth you’d have to fancy a Selby and Ding showdown, we’ll see. Bingham does have a decent head to head record against Ding and they seem to like a decider for any correct score punters as you’ll see when you click the match. None of these four are scared of winning so it’s all set up for a decent weekend. 

There’s a few days of qualifiers from Thursday next week and I’ll probably cover those, well the second lot at least. Firstly there are qualifiers for the now postponed to a packed March Indian Open (short Best of 7 matches) and secondly for the lucrative International Championship (longer Best of 11 matches). EDIT – The Indian qualifiers have already been moved to later in the season. 

Saturday 

7.30am

Mark Allen v Mark Selby

12.30pm

Ding Junhui v Stuart Bingham

Sunday

Mark Allen v Stuart Bingham

September 11, 2014

Shanghai Masters Quarter Finals

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 5:35 pm

As the sixteen players that were left this morning have been whittled down to eight, it’s now time for the Quarter Finals of this season’s Shanghai Masters.

The matches are listed below and if you click on them the head to head stats will magically appear, courtesy of Cue Tracker. Mark Allen (1 point each way at 16/1) is still in the hunt in the outrights recommended in the pre-tournament preview and I will admit to having had a dabble on Angles McManus at 33/1 yesterday so still chances there. 

7.30 am UK Time

Michael White v Mark Allen
Fergal O’Brien v Mark Selby

12.30 pm

Ding Junhui v Graeme Dott
Stuart Bingham v Alan McManus

Recommended Bet: 2 point double on Dott and McManus both plus 1.5 frames pays 11/4 at Ladbrokes.

September 10, 2014

Shanghai Surprise? The Last 16

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 5:16 pm
Great Tournament. Shit Film.

A surprisingly shite film, that’s for sure.

There have been surprises aplenty over in Shanghai so far this week, if you accept the premise that anything these days in snooker can be described in such terms. 

First off, we saw Liang Wenbo beaten by a Chinese schoolboy, a result that I did actually half expect given what I know about the pair of them. The wildchild had some decent form and Liang tends to sometimes not be at his best against this type of opponent (bookies outsiders from China) for one reason or another. Sharing the wealth and all that…

Anyway moving on, Matt Selt also fell foul of this ridiculous round which I’m sure delighted him no end, maybe he’ll tell us his thoughts on the fucking wildcard fucking round in the next X-Rated fucking Pinch of fucking Selt.

Then we saw the resurgent Scot Alan McManus sending Ronnie home, again a result that I’d argue can’t really be reported in ‘shock’ terms given Angles recent form and the rustiness of the Rocket.

But Ronnie showed his face, doubtless earned a packet from an exhibition the day before where he wore a silver waistcoat and smoked bifters and he probably won’t be seen back in China until this time next year for another big fat pay cheque. Job done. Plane home. Bish bash and a bosh on top.

My main fancy for the title Judd Trump also came a cropper against the Spaceman, Dom Dale. Coventry-born Welshman Dom had never beaten him before and his form from the 6 Reds held up. Judd being left to wander the lucrative shops of the area with Jack Lisowski buying overpriced marked-up tat until his flight home.

John Higgins being beaten by real Welshman Ryan Day surely can’t be deemed a Shanghai surprise these days. Day is capable of beating anyone of course when he’s in the mood and poor old John can’t hit a bulls arse with a shovel at times the older he gets, poor sod. In fact our Higgy was so grumpy afterwards he didn’t even speak to the assembled Chinese hacks about losing at the scheduled mandatory 10 hour press conference, what’s his problem exactly? Fine is in the post no doubt.

Stop that plane Judd!! Here comes Robbo with Django in tow in a blinged-up London cab!

Mags - not happy about the table.

Mags – not happy about the table, and quite possibly the Chinese portrait.

Another Welshie, young Michael White gave the Aussie a taste of his own medicine by winning a decider in their match. Whatever next? The way this is going there won’t be any big names left in this and all on the eve of Bazza and Co. trying to renegotiate the contract to pull them in line with all the other comps which all end up with big names at the end of them. What are the chances of that happening? Snooker eh?

At least some order was restored in the last set of matches with wins for World Champion Selby, Mark Allen and Six-Reds King Maguire (pictured), who afterwards moaned about the table, doubtless after a few cuebangs, at least some things are as they should be in this crazy madcap world. Mags sets up a clash with Angles next as even China goes Tartan mad ahead of next week’s big independence vote north of the border (they are both voting Yes).

But wait!!! A final Shanghai surprise to top off the day!! Just when you thought it was safe to venture back into the arena a dapper looking Marco Fu managed to lose against the wildcard who dumped out Selt. What the devil is going on? The way this is panning out Fergal will be winning it and they’ll be snapping Bazza’s hand off to adopt the new format, just like he wants.

Anyway, despite the outright pick on Judd we are still well in front betting-wise courtesy of the ‘surprise results’. Here’s the line up for Thursday as we move into the Last 16 with a few bets underneath. I’ve had a small interest each way on Angles at 33’s, he’s playing well enough.

CLICK THE MATCHES FOR HEAD TO HEADS COURTESY OF CUETRACKER

7.30am

Michael White v Ryan Day
Mark Allen v Mark Williams
Dominic Dale v Stuart Bingham
Graeme Dott v Shaun Murphy

12.30pm

Ding Junhui v Martin Gould
Stephen Maguire v Alan McManus
Michael Holt v Mark Selby
Wildcard v Fergal O’Brien

Predicted Winners: Day, Allen, Dale, Murphy, Ding, McManus, Selby, Wildcard.

Recommended Bets: 2 point treble on Day, Allen and Wildcard pays over 4/1 at Corals. 2 points on Dale at 6/4 and 2 points on McManus at 13/8. 1 point acca on all five pays over 28/1 generally.

PHOTOGRAPH OF MAGUIRE COURTESY OF NEIL ROBERTSON ON TWITTER. DON’T SHOOT THE MESSENGER.

September 5, 2014

Shanghai Masters Preview: Trump Can Continue Winning Form

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 3:07 pm

ShanghaiI suppose it’s not a case of ‘the season starts here’ given we’ve had action from all over the globe already but somehow the Shanghai Masters does for me at least, signify the point of the year when the real stuff really begins, maybe it’s because of the change of the seasons here in good old Blighty. 

From here on in and as the mornings grow crisper and the nights get that bit longer it feels like a good time to settle down and watch a bit of snooker. Call me a bluff old traditionalist if you will, but snooker is a sport tailor made for TV on colder days and nights, like the sporting equivalent of a comfort blanket or a pair of well worn loafers.

That said, the Chinese schedules of course always revolve around the daylight hours back in Europe and the UK and the fact all their formats revolve around 4 tables means we don’t really get to see the whole picture unravelling like we might in say the Masters or the World Championship. But Shanghai is usually a pretty decent event nonetheless and the 32 players who are there as of right alongside the 8 who have no right to be playing should put on a decent week’s entertainment.

Ding Junhui is the defending champion and number one seed while the field also includes Ronnie O’Sullivan, a rare participant in China these days, World Champion Mark Selby who missed the six reds with a dicky tummy, early season winners Neil Robertson, Judd Trump and Mark Allen and all the action will be brought to you by Eurosport from early on Monday morning.

So now let’s have a look at the tournament on a quarter by quarter basis and see if we can find a decent bet or two shall we?

QUARTER ONE

Ding Junhui v Jack Lisowski 
Joe Perry v Martin Gould 
Graeme Dott v Liang Wenbo/Yan Bingtao 
Shaun Murphy v Joe Swail 

Ding has done two things so far this season, he has won the first Asian PTC event and he has flown over to lose 5-0 to Oliver Brown in the qualifiers for the Wuxi Classic, so this represents his first foray into the main ranking events, rumour has it he is not entering any of the EPTC events at all so he’s very much embracing the freedom the new money list brings. He’s got a tough opener against Jack Lisowski and the only thing that is certain is that it shouldn’t take long. Joe Perry has started the season well and faces another player on the up in Martin Gould, all in all it’s a tough opening couple of rounds for Ding particularly if he’s rusty so I’m steering clear of him in this event, probably unwisely. The wildcard who faces Wenbo could well cause a surprise and has some very decent form making him a danger on home soil so don’t discount him turning over a couple of big names. It’s a welcome return to the main events for The Outlaw Joe Swail who has beaten Shaun Murphy on their last three meetings so he will not go into this with any fear. However, his lack of main ranking event recent experience may just count against him.

Predicted Quarter Winner: Joe Perry 

QUARTER TWO

Judd Trump v Dominic Dale 
Stuart Bingham v Li Hang/Chen Zifan 
Stephen Maguire v Jimmy Robertson 
Ronnie O’Sullivan v Alan McManus

Dominic Dale has never beaten Judd Trump in 5 meetings and with The Ace in the Pack looking very strong already this season I don’t think that 100% record will change. Judd has the look of someone who doesn’t want to miss the boat behind his contemporaries to me and I fancy him to have a good run in this. Stuart Bingham is always a danger of course but it’s been a while now (relatively) since he’s been seen at the sharp end and he may need to play himself into the season a bit. Maguire seems in good form in the 6 reds and comes here straight from that, his chances always have to be respected but it’s the bottom match in this quarter which will attract the most interest. It’s a decade since Ronnie faced Angles and McManus comes into this in very decent form and is a player I think will progress back up the rankings this season. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he caused an early upset. Ronnie didn’t look that sharp in the Paul Hunter Classic to me.

Predicted Quarter Winner: Judd Trump 

QUARTER THREE

Neil Robertson v Michael White/Niu Zhuang 
John Higgins v Ryan Day/ Xu Si 
Mark Allen v Andrew Higginson 
Barry Hawkins v Mark Williams/Zhang Yong

Lots of why’s and ifs and buts in this section which is basically ruined by the wildcard round, knock out the wildcards and you have four decent matches. It’s time to get rid of them once and for all. Robbo is already a winner over in China this season having captured the Wuxi Classic and goes to every event nowadays as the main contender. John Higgins seems to be recapturing a bit of form after a terrible season last time but for me I still think his winning days are behind him. Mark Allen is in fine fettle and for me is the man to be on in this section, his early season form seems to be rock solid and he like Judd is possibly looking at the likes of Ding, Robbo and Selby and wondering why he’s not getting more of a slice of the winners pie. We all know he’s good enough, now feels like the season he has to prove it in the main rankers.

Predicted Quarter Winner: Mark Allen 

QUARTER FOUR

Marco Fu v Matthew Selt/Zhao Xintong 
Robert Milkins v Fergal O’Brien 
Ricky Walden v Michael Holt/Yuan SiJun 
Mark Selby v Ken Doherty/Huang Jiahao

Marco Fu was one of the players of last season, incredibly consistent and extremely impressive, if he carries that through to this season he continues to be overpriced at the bookies. Matt Selt has been picking up tips from a certain Mr Hendry over the summer and it seems to be paying off, I think he’s set for a good season if he can keep his current positive outlook but he’s got a tricky draw. Fergal O’Brien is the type of player that Rob Milkins must have nightmares about. Our Rob can get a bit angry with himself now and again and The Ferginator can sniff that kind of action from a continent away, any hint of frustration and he’ll take advantage and send the Milkman packing. You have to wonder how Mark Selby will be feeling following his manflu/shits episode, but he usually looks like he’s slept in a coffin anyway when he’s playing over there so he’ll probably be just fine, assuming he is I think you’d have to make him the favourite to come through this bottom section despite the dangerous presence of Walden and Holt.

Predicted Quarter Winner: Mark Selby

Predicted Tournament Winner: Judd Trump to beat Mark Allen in the final.

Recommended Bets:

2 points on Trump to win the tournament at 14/1 with Sportingbet.

1 point each way on Allen at 16/1 with Betfred.

1 point on Perry to win Quarter 1 at 15/2 with Betfred

2 points on Bingtao to beat Wenbo at 3/1 with Corals

1 point on McManus to beat O’Sullivan at 11/2 with Bet 365

1 point on Swail to beat Murphy at 13/5 with Boylesports. 

Powered by WordPress

Website transfer complete