Snookerbacker

December 19, 2015

German Masters Round 2

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 5:07 pm

Round 2 of the German Masters starts on Saturday evening and concludes on Sunday and it’s here that we get to see who will be boarding the plane to Berlin towards the end of January.

The big shock of course from Round 1 was the exit of Neil Robertson, made all the more surprising by the fact he was beaten by amateur Ashley Hugill in a very impressive display. Hugill faces Zhao Xintong tonight for an unlikely place in the final 32.

As I write not all matches in Round 1 are complete so this will have to be finished off tomorrow. Wins for Martin O’Donnell, Andy Hicks and Alfie Burden locked in a meagre profit for Round 1 and it could have been a lot worse. Robertson’s loss let down the ‘banker’ acca as well as the fifteen fold that was stuck up, so he’s not getting a Christmas card for starters.

Saturday 7pm

Saturday Night

Some big hitters are amongst the lucky bunch who don’t have to stay in Wigan for an extra day and Mark Selby, having had a bye in Round 1 will be hoping not to go the same way as Robbo in a tricky tie against David Morris. Ghou Yolonge, who continues to have his name spelt incorrectly by everyone except myself and Dennis Taylor must have a decent chance against Barry Hawkins, he’s been very impressive from what I have seen of him and I’d give him a decent chance in that one. Similarly, Mark Williams will need to be on his mettle against the dangerous Li Hang though I do fancy Murphy to come through against his Chinese opponent Lu Ning despite the latters win over Oli Lines in Round 1. I have to fancy the Chinese players again to stop Ashley Hugill and I’d also side with Mark Joyce against Ross Muir. King and McGill should be a close one I’d say but given my record of betting in matches with Mark King in them I’ll pass on that one, you’d have to give Hamilton a fighting chance against Bingham following their recent high quality UK match, so no formality there for the World Champion I’d say, but I would marginally fancy him to progress of the two. 

Sunday 10am

Sunday Morning

This session sees another ‘amateur’, the far too good to be off the tour Andy Hicks trying to bagsy a seat on the plane at the expense of a professional and I’d take him to continue in the same vein and see off Steven Hallworth though he is a player I think I probably need to reassess soon. Maguire I’d have as a banker in this session alongside Judd and Ali, it looks like Michael White is beginning to play a bit again too so I’d confidentally back him to see off Kendo, who came through a tight first rounder in typical fighting style. I’d really like to see Zak Surety, an SB Classic veteran, progress and make his mark in an event, his style is similar to his opponent here Graeme Dott in that he likes to get on with it and is a very positive player so that one could be very entertaining and it would be nice if they streamed it, which of course they won’t. Ding and Tian, who knows? But Ding looks a shadow of his former self at the moment and I’m tempted to back against him again here faced with a very talented if a little wayward and inconsistent opponent. Alan McManus and Mike Dunn are two players who are pretty consistent these days and for me that will go to the wire and is too tough to call, gun to head, Angles.

Recommended Bets: 2 point acca pays just over 4/1 on Xintong, Joyce, Maguire, White and Carter.

6 x 0.5 point doubles and a 0.5 point acca on Li Hang (29/12), Zhou Yuelong (2/1), Zak Surety (58/19) and Tian Pengfei (20/9) pays best price over 132/1 for the acca at Marathonbet.

SB 

Sunday 2pm

Today 230

Sunday’s afternoon session sees a few very tough calls and a match in Peter Ebdon and Fergal O’Brien that could take quite a while. I’ve been impressed with Ebdon’s tenacity of late and he appears to be getting back to somewhere near his standard of a few years ago, but still some way off his best, I’d take him to win that one but I’d imagine it could be quite a tough watch. Alfie Burden appears to have turned the corner after a succession of poor results and I’d take him to overcome Finland’s Robin Hull. Poomjaeng also appears to be playing well lately and I’d take him to prevail over Zhang Anda as well as Gibraltar champion Marco Fu who should account for Yu De Lu on recent form and Martin Gould who I’d take to beat Bondy with a bit to spare. Jamie Jones and Luca Brecel should be a decent match and I fancy that one to go close, possibly a decider so that’s a coin toss for me, similarly Woollaston and Guodong is one I can see going to the wire, unfortunately the bookies aren’t really making much effort with markets on this other than match winner. Finally, I’ll take another punt on my pal Martin O’Donnell to cause an upset in his match against Kurt Maflin. All in all though this is a tricky session to find a bet.

Recommended Bet: 2 point double pays just on 11/4 on Alfie Burden and Peter Ebdon. 1 point on Martin O’Donnell at 5/2.   

Sunday 7pm

Tonight

The final session sees three matches where I’d say the short priced favourites will prevail and in those I’d include Mark Allen, John Higgins and Joe Perry. I’d actually say at the odds available it’s worth having a punt on Stuart Carrington against a rusty Rocket just on the off chance. Carrington is no mug and he’ll probably get chances so don’t discount himfrom causing an upset. Another I’d be prepared to side with against the odds is Joe Swail, who takes on Liang Wenbo in a repeat of a famous Crucible match where Wenbo cheated. Kyren Wilson is fast becoming one of your bankers but I’d not expect him to have it all his own way against Jack Lisowski but I think the bookies have priced this about right so no real value in backing either of them there. It could end up being a night for the outsiders this and I’d be prepared to chance small wagers on Rod Lawler and on Matthew Stevens in matches it would not really be that big a shock if they won.

Recommended Bets: 1 point on Carrington at 63/10 with Marathon Bet. 3 x 1 point doubles and a 1 point treble on Swail, Stevens and Lawler pays best odds over 19/1 for the treble at Marathon Bet.

SB

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