Snookerbacker

October 3, 2013

EPTC5: Ruhr Open Preview

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 6:16 pm
They're Ruhr-ing to go....

They’re Ruhr-ing to go….

It’s off to Germany for the next few days as the fifth European Players Tour Event or Ruhr Open is played in Mulheim, the amateur rounds are already underway and the professionals, including the world champion Ronnie O’Sullivan take to the baize on Friday.

It’s also live on Eurosport which is always a bonus and even the UK coverage of this looks pretty decent so there’s no excuse not to get involved on the betting front, unless the kids are hungry to the point of malnutrition, then I suppose there might be I suppose depending on how much you like them. (That last bit was sponsored by Gamble Aware)

Seriously though with these I’d urge caution on the match betting as the format can throw up some very unpredictable results and with some really decent events ahead this season it would be nothing short of careless to throw good money after bad on best of sevens. The highlight for me of this month is yet to come with the International Championship in Chengdu, long matches and big money at stake, happy days. The lowlight unfortunately being the missed chance in India.

But I always enjoy having a play in the outrights in these and we’ve enjoyed some success in the past with this tactic. It’s a real needle in a haystack job but there are big prices out there about some of the world’s top players so it’s always worth a good look and a punt, even to very small stakes. There are plenty of 100/1 plus each way shots that have landed in the past in PTC’s and doubtless this will carry on.

The full draw can be viewed here. The Eurosport schedule can be found here and the prize money is listed below in Euros:

Winner €25,000
Runner-up €12,000
Semi-finals €6,000
Quarter-finals €4,000
Last 16 €2,300
Last 32 €1,200
Last 64 €700
Last 128 Sod all
Total €125,000

The first thing to say is that while Ronnie O’Sullivan is still priced up at 9/2 and is seemingly oblivious to the fact that when he’s in the mood lately there is still nobody that can touch him, he has to be backed. He’s still the best there is and this PTC format suits his famously short (though it is getting longer as the years go by) attention span, so he is a concrete pick before we even start looking at the alternatives. Add to this that most of his major overly hyped-up rivals, Higgins, Selby, Murphy and Trump (see poster) are not yet firing on all cylinders and that only his real closest ones Ding Junhui and Neil Robertson aren’t seeded to meet him until the semi-finals and final accordingly, you have to back him in an event like this.

The next player that I’ll put in from the first quarter is Anthony McGill who could have had a worse draw and has some decent form in the PTC’s, he also seems to be a player that enjoys the European travel which always helps. A word of caution when looking at prices though that Sportingbet and most other firms are 1-2 and not 1-2-3-4 for each way which explains the huge difference in his price there compared to the others. It’s a shame they are not all the same as this is a real pain when looking for prices. In fact it looks like only Skybet, Boyles and Apollobet are a quarter of the odds these days.

The ones only giving finalists as each way and not pricing up accordingly are having a laugh, I’ll name them next time.

In the next section I’ll play another long shot in Joe Swail, who seems to be thoroughly enjoying his time back on the tour and is posting decent results, it’s a huge price for fans of The Outlaw. In this section I also like the odds on Pinner Potter Martin Gould, who will surely soon be winning one of these.

Time to focus

Time to focus

In section three, two favourites of mine in PTC’s Dave Gilbert and Rob Milkins get the nod. Gilbert is a player I rate very highly and he seems (at last) to have started knuckling down to the day job. He is a player who admits to being lazy when it comes to practice but is still young enough to have a really good few years ahead of him, he’s definitely capable as he has proved. Milkins is coming into his own lately and is another who has been guilty of neglecting snooker in the past, those days are gone now and practice now seems to be the first thing he thinks about when getting out of bed, his one year ranking is testament to this new found commitment.

In the bottom section my final twosome will be Mark Joyce and Mark Allen. Joyce is consistent without setting the world alight and is more than capable of going deep in one of these with his experience and tough matchplay and I get the feeling that Allen is now ready to start his season. I saw him at the weekend during the SB Classic and he had two long days with his coach Terry Griffiths prior to his International win on Tuesday, to me he looks like he now wants to start competing after what I reckon was a bit of a half-hearted start to the season from him following his nuptials, the Mrs will start wanting fancy stuff soon so he’d better start winning.

Recommended Bets: 3 points on Ronnie O’Sullivan at 9/2 (Sportingbet). 1 point Win on Mark Allen at 25/1 (Ladbrokes). 1 point Each Way on Martin Gould at 66/1 (Apollobet). 1 point Each way Rob Milkins 50/1 (Skybet). 0.5 points Each Way on McGill 150/1 (Apollobet), Swail 200/1 (Skybet), Gilbert 100/1 (Skybet), Joyce 175/1 (Apollobet).

Match bets will follow, check out Apollobet’s match betting by clicking here  

Friday’s Matches

8.30am

Ben Woollaston v Michael Georgiou
Ian Burns v Joel Walker
Alfie Burden v Dechawat Poomjaeng
Stuart Carrington v Peter Ebdon
Liam Highfield v Alex Borg
Michael Leslie v Chris Norbury
Gary Wilson v Xiao Guodong
Kurt Maflin v Mark King
Scott Donaldson v Oli Lines
Anthony McGill v Craig Steadman
Pankaj Advani v Jimmy White

Approx 10am

Hammad Miah v Sanderson Lam
Thanawat Tirapongpaiboon v Adam Duffy
Stephen Maguire v Sean O’Sullivan
Marcus Campbell v Joe Perry
Aditya Mehta v Kevin Van Hove

Approx 10.30am

Mike Dunn v Jak Jones
David Grace v Barry Pinches
Joe Swail v Ratchayothin Yotharuck
Ding Junhui v Li Hang

Approx 11.30am

Ryan Day v Li Yan
Tom Ford v Chris Wakelin
David Morris v Thepchaiya Un-Nooh
Ali Carter v Andrew Pagett

Approx 12pm

Ronnie O’Sullivan v Ross Muir
Martin Gould v Alex Davies
Rod Lawler v Jack Lisowski
Anthony Hamilton v Zhang Anda

Approx 1pm

Barry Hawkins v Ryan Causton
Matthew Stevens v James Wattana
Gerard Greene v Phil Barnes
Nigel Bond v Wendy Jans

Recommended Round 2 Match Bet: 5 points on Stuart Carrington to beat Alex Borg at 4/7 with Bet Victor. 

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Filed under: snookerbacker @ 3:33 pm

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