Snookerbacker

September 30, 2013

International Championship Qualifiers Preview: From Barnsley to Chengdu in One Match

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 4:24 pm

Barnsley.

This week sees the International Championship qualifiers take place at the Barnsley Metrodome starting on Tuesday with the first 32 matches and ending on Wednesday with the other 32. Each player winning their match guaranteed prize money of £3000 and a trip to China.

It was a new event on the calendar last season and I have to say that it was one of my favourites. Why I hear you ask? Well, simply because it has longer matches, with best of 11 framers right from this stage up to the semi-finals which are both blissful two session best of 17 affairs followed by a final of the best of 19.

This is a welcome break from Bazza’s favoured quickfire best of 7 fodder and also a preferred format for someone that likes a bet on matches, 11 frames arguably proving a truer test of who is the better player than perhaps 7 ever can.

It was won last year by Judd Trump, who obviously heard that there was record prize money for a Chinese event beforehand, ever the magpie it was Judd who flew over and nabbed all the gold in what was to prove his one and only tournament win of the season, beating Neil Robertson 10-8 in the final.

But before the baize boys get to strut their stuff on the red carpets of Chengdu they must first go to Barnsley to qualify, that has been made perfectly clear to them all in the contract. Once again World Snooker have managed to deliver a venue at the heart of a bustling cosmopolitan mecca, with the new addition of Doncaster having already delivered tropical like temperatures (and that was just inside the arena). One can only imagine the disappointed towns and cities across the UK that just missed out on hosting this event, Oldham, Birkenhead, South Shields, Brixton and Burnley must all wait to fight another day having surely been shortlisted.

I’m probably doing Barnsley a huge disservice here, having only passed through there vowing never to return again in my life just the once. I’m sure residents will defend it with honour and I pride myself on always giving a balanced view on this blog, so if you click here you will be able to read a local’s personal, heartfelt, eloquent and moving portrail of his hometown.

Anyway, on the plus side World Snooker has announced that entry for spectators at the Metrodome is FREE and there’s no need to book, you just need to turn up on the day. On the minus side you don’t get your expenses reimbursed or your personal injury insurance cover.

Now let’s have a look at the prize money, the betting and the matches and see if there is anything to take our fancy.

Prize Money

Winner: £125,000
Runner-up: £65,000
Semi-finals: £30,000
Quarter-finals: £17,500
Last 16: £12,000
Last 32: £7,000
Last 64: £3,000
Last 128: BuggerAll

You can check out the match prices for these at Apollobet by clicking here.

For full head to head records enter the names of the two players concerned into this handy tool courtesy of the excellent Cuetracker.  

9.30am

Alan McManus v Darren Cook
Ben Woollaston v Lee Spick
Fergal O’Brien v David Grace
Rod Lawler v Ian Burns
Ricky Walden v Aditya Mehta
Mark Allen v Chen Zhe
Dave Harold v Sam Baird
Dominic Dale v Pankaj Advani
Joe Perry v Tony Drago
Jamie Jones v Andrew Pagett
David Gilbert v Sean O’Sullivan

Of the market favourites in this first session I would have to say that the ones that it would be the biggest surprise to see lose would be Alan McManus, Ben Woollaston, Mark Allen and Dave Gilbert so I would say that an opening acca on those four to try and sure up the coffers is probably the order of the day at just over 11/8 with Apollobet. There are however a few other matches that could upset the odds, the Indian duo of Mehta and Advani are both capable of overturning their higher ranked opponents but I’d say Pankaj is the most likely of the two to do so, I’d probably side with Ian Burns to get his season going with a win over Rod Lawler in what could be a long one and likewise predict wins for Jamie Jones, Joe Perry and Fergal O’Brien. It’s interesting that the experienced but short on matches Dave Harold is odds against in some places against Sam Baird, unless there is something really amiss with Big Dave, I’d say he should really be starting favourite for that one so that would be my only other bet of this session.

Recommended Bets: 3 point acca McManus, Woollaston, Allen and Gilbert pays just over 11/8 at Apollobet. 2 points on Dave Harold at 11/10 with Sportingbet. 

Barnsley has modern traffic lights in some areas.

Barnsley has modern traffic lights in some areas.

2.30pm

Ronnie O’Sullivan v Joel Walker
Barry Hawkins v Rhys Clark
Jimmy White v Liam Highfield
Steve Davis v Allan Taylor
Michael Holt v Craig Steadman
Alfie Burden v Daniel Wells
Adam Duffy v Michael Wasley
Marco Fu v Robbie Williams
Stuart Bingham v Ratchayothin Yotharuck
Martin Gould v Fraser Patrick
Mark King v Lu Haotian

This session sees World Champion Ronnie surely cruise through to Chengdu. His opponent Joel Walker has shown promise in glimpses in the past but only a lacklustre, going through the motions performance by The Rocket will give Joel a chance here, my feeling is that O’Sullivan is increasingly giving it 100% every time he plays now that the tour is basically tailor made for him. Other favourites you would expect to progress are Barry Hawkins, Michael Holt, Marco Fu and Stuart Bingham (all at restrictive odds) but in the others I think you can make a strong case either way. I’d take Liam Highfield to edge out Jimmy White and would marginally side with Alfie Burden and Martin Gould in their matches. It’s a huge test for The Assassin Allan Taylor in his live streamed encounter with The Nugget and I’ll just watch that I think, the two outsiders I could see winning are Michael Wasley and young Chinese Lu Haotian.

Recommended Bets: 4 x 2 point singles and a 1 point acca on Burden (4/7 Bet Victor), Highfield (5/6 Stan James), Wasley (6/5 Stan James) and Haotian (2/1 Stan James). Further 2 points on Wasley at 6/5. Acca pays over 16/1 at Stan James.   

7.30pm

Shaun Murphy v Christopher Keogan
Peter Lines v Hammad Miah
Jamie Burnett v Mohamed Khairy
Gerard Greene v Thepchaiya Un-Nooh
Marcus Campbell v Zhang Anda
Peter Ebdon v Thanawat Tirapongpaiboon
Jack Lisowski v Vinnie Calabrese
Dechawat Poomjaeng v Joe Swail
Tom Ford v Gary Wilson
Nigel Bond v Oliver Brown

A far tougher session than the previous two this one and I’d say this is the one where we will see the most upsets. The only three favourites I would say will come through barring a shock would be Shaun Murphy, Jamie Burnett and Jack Lisowski. After that, I don’t think any result would surprise me too much. Hammad Miah has shown himself to be capable enough but you would think the experience and current form of Peter Lines would be too much for him at this stage in his career, Gerard Greene was in the form of his life recently in Germany and a repeat of that will see him through against Un-Nooh, but any lapse and Greene will surely be beaten by the improving Thai player. Marcus Campbell has had a mediocre start to the season and could find Zhang Anda tough going but you’d imagine that fellow seasoned tour pro Nigel Bond will be sharp enough to cope with Oliver Brown who would be looking for his biggest ever and first professional scalp. I noticed that Peter Ebdon had a recent feature about this tournament on World Snooker which to me had some similarities with his bizarre public announcement a couple of season’s ago that he wasn’t playing very well, this might be because he faces Thanawat and he may feel he needs to explain away poor form in advance for reasons best known to him so this says to me that TT will probably win. Ebbo is hardly setting the world on fire at the moment and the only thing on fire in Thanawat’s world lately has been his house. I notice a few firms have decided not to price this one up. The two interesting betting propositions in this session for me are Joe Swail and Gary Wilson, Swail is battling personified and will I’m sure be desperate to get on the plane to China and Wilson, despite a tough opponent in Tom Ford is in fine form at this stage of the season and is worth sticking with until that stops.

Recommended Bets: 3 x 2 point singles and a 1 point treble on Thanawat (11/10 Corals), Swail (5/4 Stan James) and Gary Wilson (6/5 Stan James). Treble pays almost 9/1 at Corals. 

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Wednesday 2nd of October

9.30am

Mark Selby v Martin O’Donnell
Ali Carter v Barry Pinches
James Wattana v Jamie O’Neill
Stephen Maguire v David Morris
Michael White v Alex Borg
Anthony Hamilton v Paul Davison
Kurt Maflin v Luca Brecel
Jimmy Robertson v Michael Leslie
Ken Doherty v Stuart Carrington
Andrew Higginson v Li Yan
Anthony McGill v Ross Muir

Again, it’s helpful to start with the favourites that you would expect to come through barring shocks and I’d say you would have to side with Ali Carter as your banker of the day along with Michael White, Jimmy Robertson and Anthony McGill, I think that would be my morning acca in this session as for me on paper they should all win with a bit in hand. My glaring omission for some will be the exclusion of Mark Selby from that list and some may accuse me of donning the old rose tinted spectacles as he’s up against the original Snookerbacker Classic Champ Martin O’Donnell, but I genuinely think that The MO’D is finding his feet and he only lost in a decider to Selby in Germany recently, it’s a big ask to win of course against as tough a match player as Mark but there’s no value sticking Selby in an acca at 1/6 best price. I’d give every other outsider in this group of matches a chance to be honest, particularly Paul Davison who is a huge price against Anthony Hamilton in a match which for me could go either way. The Luca Brecel/Kurt Maflin match shouldn’t last too long and you do feel that young Luca needs to start making the venues soon after a great season two cycles back, he’s not really kicked on and you’d have to fancy Maflin there. Andrew Higginson is struggling at the moment and his opponent Li Yan is capable enough and could be a bit of value if Andrew has an off-day. David Morris is another that could well pull off a giant killing act and I reckon a small interest on him to beat Maguire should be considered, on balance in the other two matches not mentioned I’d plump for the experience of Ken Doherty and James Wattana, but for me it’s an acca and a couple of singles in this session.

Recommended Bets: 3 point acca on Carter, White, Robertson and McGill pays just under 7/4 at Ladbrokes. 3×1 point singles on Li Yan (2/1 Stan James), David Morris (12/5 Sportingbet) and Paul Davison (11/4 Bet 365)    

A nice view of some closed down shops in Barnsley

A nice view of some closed down shops in Barnsley

2.30pm

Neil Robertson v Li Hang
Mike Dunn v Scott Donaldson
Ryan Day v Chris Wakelin
Tian Pengfei v Alexander Ursenbacher
Xiao Guodong v Jak Jones
Liu Chuang v Robin Hull
Matthew Selt v Chris Norbury
Yu De Lu v Alex Davies
Matthew Stevens v Mitchell Travis
Cao Yupeng v James Cahill
Ding Junhui v Shane Castle

The favorites expected to progress in this crop would be World Number 1 Neil Robertson, Tian Pengfei, Xiao Guodong, Cao Yupeng and Ding Junhui, giving the afternoon acca a distinctly eastern feel. I’d tentatively add Liu Chuang to it to enhance it, but with a note of caution that if his opponent, Finland’s Robin Hull brings his A game he can really compete at this level. Matthew Stevens is not having a great start to the season but he would be disappointed to lose to Mitchell Travis who, whilst having taken professional scalps would have to have his best result to win here. Ryan Day faces dark horse Chris Wakelin and Ryan, very like Andrew Higginson in the morning session is getting quite hardto predict bringing either his best or worst to the table at the flick of a switch lately, but you would expect him to win that one. Scott Donaldson has started the season very well indeed and at a shade under Evens might still be a bit of value against Mike Dunn, Alex Davies is very capable but I think I’d still marginally side with Yu De Lu in that one, the Chinese having won a recent meeting between the two. Finally, everyone’s favourite pro snooker blogger Matt Selt is up against Chris Norbury, while Matt is very short oddswise to win, you’d think he probably will but there isn’t any value in that one really.

Recommended Bets: 2 point acca Robertson, Yupeng, Guodong, Pengfei and Ding pays 6/4 at Apollobet. Add Chuang for a point acca pays over 5/2 with the same firm. 2 points on Donaldson at 4/5 with Apollobet.  

7.30pm

Judd Trump v Cao Xin Long
Mark Joyce v Andrew Norman
John Higgins v John Astley
Rory McLeod v Darryl Hill
Jamie Cope v Kyren Wilson
Graeme Dott v Elliot Slessor
Mark Williams v Ahmed Saif
Robert Milkins v Noppon Saengkham
Dark Mavis v Lee Page
Liang Wenbo v Ryan Clark

The final session is dominated by short priced favourites and it’s hard to make a case for some of the opponents that they face it has to be said. I don’t know much about Judd’s opponent but he does count Mike Dunn, Dom Dale and Ding Junhui amongst his scalps in minor events, he loses more than he wins though so you suspect that Judd will be OK despite being a little out of form lately. Of the short priced favourites I expect Rory McLeod, Mark Williams, Rob Milkins, Dark Mavis and Liang Wenbo to come through unscathed so a maximum bet fivefold is recommended, but there might be a couple of uneasy ones elsewhere. John Astley is no slouch and John Higgins is another that isn’t looking the force of old lately, I suspect he’ll win but it might not be as easy as the 1/8 best odds suggest. Elliot Slessor is well known to readers of the blog from his SB Classic exploits and he’s a player that has improved in leaps and bounds in a couple of short years, he’s seemingly unphased by the pressure and I expect him to give Graeme Dott a game, he’s worth a small wager at the odds. I also fancy last year’s SB Classic runner-up Kyren Wilson to continue his great recent run with a win over Jamie Cope, who isn’t the player of old. Finally, my mate Andrew Norman, the hardest working man in snooker bar none faces Mark Joyce, Joyce is one of those players that seems to be thriving on the plethora of tournaments on offer and is posting some very decent results, just on that basis, I’d have to side with him in that one.

Recommended Bet: 5 point acca on McLeod, Mavis, Williams, Wenbo and Milkins pays 5/4 at Apollobet. 2 point double on Wilson and Joyce pays almost 13/8 at Sportingbet. 1 point on Slessor at 3/1 with Stan James. 0.5 points on Astley at 6/1 with Corals.

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