Snookerbacker

September 18, 2013

Shanghai Masters Last 16

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 5:33 pm
Kyren - Another big scalp.

Kyren – Another big scalp.

Thursday sees the last 16 of the Shanghai Masters completed in full and there are still plenty of top names involved despite there having been the odd shock or two along the way.

The first session on Wednesday saw all four matches go against the bookies favourites, with Snookerbacker Classic 2013 Runner-Up Kyren Wilson proving again that he’s up to the challenge of the big stage with a comfortable win over Stuart Bingham, he wasn’t a million miles off compiling a 147 in the process but I’m sure he won’t be too disappointed with that, on the other TV table Xiao Guodong did a similar job on Stephen Maguire, knocking him out 5-2.

On the outside tables, Martin Gould scored another good win, this time over Ricky Walden and Mark King managed to out-battle Graeme Dott, King being a player who is now tending to play his best stuff in China.

In the second session Mark Selby put the last wildcard out of his (and my) misery and there were also comfortable wins for Ding Junhui over Dave Gilbert and Ryan Day over Mark Allen, who is yet to get going this season. In the other match Mark Joyce looked like getting the better of Rob Milkins, Joyce being another player that is beginning to get results on a very consistent basis lately, but the Gloucester man produced an escape act to take the final three frames and win a decider, he lives to fight another day.

Bettingwise, the outright book took a small jolt with Maguire losing but with main fancy Higgins (7/1), Ding (14/1), Fu (33/1) and Milkins (66/1) all in the hunt in their respective quarters it’s still not too bad. The match betting has also gone well with the three recommended match bets so far all going in Mavis (11/8), Wilson (12/5) and King (6/4) ensuring a nice return on the first few days. I also ended up backing Holt at 7/2 to beat Judd as hinted at in the outright preview, so the matches have been very good to us indeed.

Let’s now have a look at the eight matches on Thursday and see what we can find.

Thursday – click on matches for head to heads (where applicable)

7.30am

John Higgins v Dark Mavis
Kyren Wilson v Marco Fu (0-0)
Martin Gould v Michael Holt
Peter Lines v Xiao Guodong

The first thing to say is that Dark Mavis has as good a record against John Higgins as any player, he has won their last 4 meetings although of those there are two that can rightly be considered minor events but the World Championship first round victory last season and the UK Last 16 victory are enough for you to know that Higgins will have to be on his game to cope with the in-form Mavis. The way in which he finished off Ali Carter in the first round makes you believe he will be bang up for this one with nothing to fear, a shock may be looming in that one. Kyren is rewarded for his defeat of Bingham with another man in form in the shape of Marco Fu who is comfortably a top 5 player on the one year ranking list, I’d love for Kyren to continue his run but can’t see him overturning the Hong Kong man in truth. Michael Holt looked very solid in seeing off Judd Trump and returns to the TV tables to face Martin Gould, both are looking for the ranking title that is surely in them, for me this one is the toss of a coin so the value is with Holt but for me the frame bet below is probably the one to be on. I think it’s worth swimming against the tide again in the bottom match as I can see Peter Lines continuing his run against Xiao Guodong, who, while a fine player, can be a little inconsistent, for me Lines will be too tough for him.

Predicted Winners: Mavis, Fu, Holt, Lines.

Recommended Bets: 3 points on Holt v Gould over 7.5 frames at 4/5 with Bet 365.

It's time to go max.

It’s time to go max.

12.30pm

Mark Selby v Rob Milkins
Ryan Day v Barry Hawkins
Shaun Murphy v Ding Junhui
Mark King v Neil Robertson

Mark Selby wasn’t really tested in his last match and now he faces Rob Milkins, another player who is firmly established in the top ten on the one year ranking list, such is his new found consistency, given Milkins current form I can see him ¬†possibly causing another upset here at a decent price, worth a small punt. Ryan Day is always a handful when he’s on a roll and he faces Barry Hawkins who I still maintain doesn’t play his best in China, so again at the prices I will side with the outsider there, with a wealth warning that Hawkins is a player I continually underrate sometimes at my peril. Shaun Murphy started well in his opener but looked far from settled afterwards and could easily have lost to Yu Delu, he faces Ding who I was impressed with against Gilbert, I still have a sneaking feeling that he might have a good week here and reverse his woeful homeland form, Murphy for me is there for the taking so that is the first maximum bet of the season for me. In the final match, Mark King faces Robbo, King saves his best for China and I am hearing that he’s flying in practice at the moment, I’m not sure that means he’ll turn Robbo over, but it feels like that sort of week to me so I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he did.

Predicted Winners: Milkins, Day, Ding, King.

Recommended Bet: 5 points on Ding to beat Murphy at 4/5 with Paddy Power. 3×1 point singles and a 1 point treble on Mavis (+1.5), Lines and Day. The treble pays over 9/1 at Bet 365. Best prices for three selections are Mavis (Evens Bet 365), Lines (11/8 Apollobet) and Day (11/8 Apollobet). 1 point on Milkins to beat Selby at 9/4 with Bet Victor. ¬†

By the way, if anyone is having any trouble getting their bets on to their desired stake with Apollobet, please email me at [email protected] with your username (not password!!)

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THANKS TO SNOOKER ISLAND FOR USE OF THE MAIN IMAGE

Snookerbacker Classic Score Centre: Player Mugshots Wanted

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 12:37 pm
Try your best to look happy.

Try your best to look happy.

It’s just over a week until the Snookerbacker Classic kicks off for another season in Gloucester and for anyone that missed the live draws the other day, you can watch them here.¬†

I’m delighted to say that a member of the SB Classic family has once again produced the goods when it mattered in fine style by designing this season’s Score Centre.

Andy from My Snooker Stats is of course the genius that was responsible for the live scoring system that drew worldwide praise last year at Grand Finals Day and he’s put together drawsheets for the openers as well as a specific page to keep track of this season’s Order of Merit List.

You can view Saturday’s drawsheet here

You can view Sunday’s drawsheet here

You can view the Snookerbacker Order of Merit page here

You’ll notice that there is a space for player pictures so if you are involved in the SB Classic events this year send a picture that you’d like to use on your profile to [email protected] and we’ll get it on the scoreboard for you.

We’d prefer a face rather than a ‘snooker’ one if that makes sense, to get your face known as the event goes on. Please don’t send a huge picture either as it might crash my email.

Once again thanks to Andy and My Snooker Stats for being a terrific partner and hopefully this will further enhance the online SB Classic experience.

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