April 29, 2013

Day 11 at the World Championship: Quarter Final Preview (UPDATED)

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 6:37 pm
We are down to the final eight.

We are down to the final eight.

As there is a pretty quick turnaround after the Monday evening session I thought it best to get the Quarter Final preview up for the first two matches that we know with the other two to follow in the morning.

The bets from the second round have gone extremely well with (as I write) the possibility that all eight recommended will land if Ricky Walden finishes the job and Ronnie and Ali can conjure up a century break between them tonight in the final session, but we’ll see.

EDIT: They did so all eight bets recommended in the R2 preview won.

As the debate rages on about toilet breaks and burn out it was great to hear that two decent new events are set to be launched next season, one in India and one in ermm, Coventry.

You can read everything that Bazza had to say on that here and I’m sure I’ll have something to say on the matter soon enough, I usually do after all.

But for now, the first two QF’s between Trump and Murphy and Ding and Hawkins are previewed briefly below with the other two to follow on the morrow.

I do like the price of the bet on the Ding match and I am not sure after this post goes up how long that price will last, so if you fancy it be quick, as the actress said to the bishop.

The best of luck if you are having a bet.

Quarter Finals (click on the match for head to head statistics):

Ronnie O’Sullivan v Stuart Bingham

The Ronnie go-round is now well and truly spinning after a great display last night against Ali, who proclaimed afterwards that if the Rocket doesn’t lose his head he will win the tournament again. Indeed, in the balls last night Ronnie was as sharp as ever, even his long game began to improve towards the end of the match and that might be an ominous sign for the rest of the field. He plays Stuart Bingham who was another that pulled away towards the end of his match against Dark Mavis from being level coming into the latter stages. Unlike Ali, Stuart has beaten Ronnie and over a longer distance, in the 2010 UK Championship when he won 9-6. But Ronnie has won all four of their other encounters against his former practice partner. Bingham is a tough cookie these days and I don’t think this is a gimmee for Ronnie, who will need to be just as sharp if not sharper and can’t afford a dodgy first session today. I was going to flag up Stuart at +4.5 frames at around the 8/11 mark until I saw the bet below, which actually gives you both players at better odds.

Selection: O’Sullivan 13-9

Recommended Bet: 2 points on the winning margin being under 4.5 frames at 10/11 with Paddy Power

Judd Trump v Shaun Murphy

An absolute cracker is on the cards here between two players who have already shown glimpses of their best form, both coming here relatively fresh. They have met surprisingly few times in big events and that only adds to the intrigue of this encounter. Judd seems to have the bit between his teeth so far and also, as is often the case when he is in decent form he seems to be getting just that little bit of running here and there to help him along the way, he is a lot of people’s idea of the winner. Murphy will be determined to finish what has been a disappointing season for him on a high and you can almost smell his determination through the TV screen as he hammers those long pots home with his machine-like cue action. I’ll be honest here, I haven’t got a strong view on this one and can forsee any number of outcomes, most of them are of it being quite close so with that in mind just a small interest on the outsider is where I will be placing a small daft wager.

Selection: Murphy 13-10

Recommended Bet: 1 point on Murphy to win 13-10 at 14/1 with Apollobet.

Ricky Walden v Michael White

Michael WhiteWhat a prize awaiting the winner of this one, a place in the semi-finals to play in the one-table situation for a player who won his first ever match here on Day 2 and a player who at 21 years old is making his Crucible debut. Ricky came through the mill last night and survived a comeback by Rob Milkins, he has been known to crumble under pressure at times in the past but didn’t last night even though he made no secret of the fact that he is trying his best and failing to not get carried away looking at the draw. Michael White for me has played some of the best snooker of the championship so far and is a player that I believe could even achieve the impossible this week. He is fearless, enjoying every minute and up to now has been clinical in putting matches to bed. OK, he had very little to do in the last round but his performance against MJW felt like the dawning of a new star in snooker. Jamie Jones, also from Neath got to this stage last year and lost, then had a terrible season this time, I’m going to take White to buck this trend and progress to the semi-finals and kick on next season aswell.

Selection: White 13-8

Recommended Bet: 4 points on over 1.5 centuries at 8/11 with Bet 365 

Ding Junhui v Barry Hawkins

Barry Hawkins has a decent record against Ding and after a win over Selby may approach this in very much a devil may care mood and that makes him a danger man. For me this is probably in reality Ding’s semi-final as I would be surprised if, having won this one he lost another real semi-final on the one table set up. There is little doubt that Ding is showing glimpses of brilliance but the bookies don’t seem that convinced that he’s such a sure thing against Hawkins and I have to say that I agree. His lapses of concentration are still apparent and were exposed by Mark King to some extent but King isn’t as strong a scorer as Barry and his safety is probably not quite as good these days either. Ding will probably win and the 1/2 at Hills will attract money I am sure, but the one thing you can usually rely on in his matches is centuries and Barry is no slouch in this area either so the early price that has been put up at Bet 365 below should be backed before it’s gone.

Selection: Ding 13-9

Recommended Bet: 4 points on more than 2.5 centuries at 10/11 with Bet 365. (This price went within minutes of the preview going up, I think 8/11 is best now) 

Recommended Accas: 1 point on O’Sullivan, Murphy, White and Ding pays just on 12/1 at Bet Victor. 3 points on Bingham (+5.5), Murphy (+3.5) and White (+3.5) pays over 11/4 at Ladbrokes.

Order of Play Today


Shaun Murphy 2-6 Judd Trump
Ding Junhui 3-5 Barry Hawkins


Ronnie O’Sullivan 7-1 Stuart Bingham
Ricky Walden 6-2 Michael White


Shaun Murphy 8-8 Judd Trump
Ding Junhui v Barry Hawkins

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