Snookerbacker

August 20, 2012

International Championship Qualifiers Day 2

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 7:14 am

Let’s get back to best of 131 framers like the good old days.

It’s the second day of qualification for the International Championship today with the first set of matches getting underway at 9.30 as yesterday’s winners face those on the next rung of the rankings ladder. 

I didn’t catch a lot of the action yesterday in what is a very busy period for yours truly, hence the slightly shortened coverage of this event. I was however pleased to see the SB Classic Champion Martin O’Donnell post a decent win last night to set up what should be a great game tonight against Scotland’s Anthony McGill.

I am also pleased (as it somehow slipped my radar) to see that the move in this new event is towards longer matches.

The qualifiers here being best of 11 rather than 9 and later on in the event there are two session semi-finals. The old ‘we want longer matches’ campaign has obviously posted it’s first scalp.

The bet yesterday ducked after a rare professional win for Daniel Wells, I’ll just go session by session today I think so for now let’s just have a look at the morning matches and I’ll be back later to look at the others.

Monday August 20

9.30am

17) James Wattana 5-6 Thepchaiya Un-Nooh
18) Peter Lines 5-6 Paul Davison
19) Liu Chuang 6-4 Michael Wasley
20) Jimmy Robertson 2-6 Luca Brecel
21) David Gilbert 6-2 Sam Baird
22) Steve Davis 5-6 Pankaj Advani

The three matches I like here are firstly the experienced James Wattana to beat his fellow countryman Un-Nooh, the two have never met professionally but James has demonstrated on many occasions that he can still more than hold his own at this level and he is a confident choice here. Secondly, with these best of 11 matches the handicap bets on those you fancy winning become instantly more attractive, so I will take the classy Dave Gilbert to beat Sam Baird with a frame to spare, Baird put right a woeful display last month by beating Ben Judge yesterday after the Aussie had ground him down in their previous meeting, but Gilbert is another matter entirely. Finally, I’ll take Luca Brecel to make a game of it against Jimmy Robertson. Luca is improving with every event and narrowly missed a maximum just the other day by carelessly missing the final pink, a 2.5 frame handicap cushion for him completes the morning treble.

Recommended Bet: 2 points treble on Wattana, Gilbert (-1.5) and Brecel (+2.5) pays over 5/2 at Apollobet (back it here)

2.30pm

23) Alfie Burden v Zhang Anda
24) Rod Lawler v Kurt Maflin
25) Andy Hicks 4-6 Robbie Williams
26) Mike Dunn 3-6 Aditya Mehta
27) Adam Duffy v Liam Highfield

One bet really stands out in this session, Mike Dunn is in a terrible run of form and only last week hinted that he’d just about had enough of snooker. His opponent Aditya Mehta continues to be a player that impresses and I think he can add to Dunn’s recent woes here. The experienced Andy Hicks will fancy his chances against Robbie Williams while Alfie Burden’s form is looking like taking a turn for the better and he should prevail against Zhang Anda. There is no reason to suspect that the decent recent form of Rod Lawler can’t continue against Kurt Maflin and in the other match Adam Duffy is fancied to outscore Liam Highfield.

Recommended Bets: 3 points on Mehta to beat Dunn at 5/6 with William Hills. 2 points double on Hicks and Burden pays just on 11/8 at Ladbrokes. 1 point acca on Mehta, Hicks, Burden, Lawler and Duffy pays over 10/1 at Ladbrokes. 

7.30pm

28) Cao Yupeng 6-5 Tian Pengfei
29) Yu De Lu 6-3 Ian Burns
30) Anthony McGill 6-4 Martin O’Donnell
31) Barry Pinches 6-2 Daniel Wells
32) Mark Joyce 6-4 Dechawat Poomjaeng

I’m beginning to make it a bit of a golden rule to not get involved when two Chinese players play each other, for no other reason that for whatever reason there seems to be no pattern to who wins. Yupeng for me is now the second best Chinese player to Ding, but that is no guarantee that he’ll beat the inconsistent Pengfei. Ian Burns has started his professional career well and he might be worth a punt to beat the other Chinese player in action Yu De Lu but it’s a pretty even affair that one so the handicap is probably the way to go. I’ll obviously be hoping that The MO’D can kick start his season here with a win over the classy Anthony McGill, but it’s a tough ask for Martin and hand on heart I’d have to fancy the Scot. Barry Pinches holds a 2-1 head to head lead over Daniel Wells who posted a rare victory last night, I’ve always thought Wells was a decent player but he just can’t seem to string wins together, in fact you have to go back two years to the last time he won two on the bounce and even that was in a PTC against opponents ranked lower than him, on those stats you can’t fancy him against the experienced Canary Cueist here. Finally Mark Joyce takes on Poomjaeng and my feeling is that Joyce is beginning to post some decent results consistently again, he’s my pick here.

Recommended Bet: 2 point treble on Pinches, Joyce and Burns (+2.5) at over 9/4 with Apollobet

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