The German Masters Preview
The German Masters starts over in Berlin tomorrow and is covered live on Eurosport.
It signals the long awaited return of German girls to the blog for the duration of the tournament which always mysteriously results in a couple of hundred more visits to the site, I really can’t think why.
In my opinion this event was the best addition to the calendar last season by a long chalk and was played to sell out crowds who watched Mark Williams beat Mark Selby in the final. The set-up is unique in that they have a multi-table open format in a huge arena so that the audience can catch a glimpse of all the players on show in any one session. As ever, there will be those that enjoy this and those that don’t, which makes it even more interesting.
You can find the draw and format for the event at World Snooker here.
You can also view Apollobet’s prices on both the outrights and the matches here. Interestingly, if Neil Robertson continues his amazing run of form of late and you haven’t backed him, Apollo are going to refund all outright win bets up to a stake of £200, so bear that in mind if betting on the outrights as Robbo is your insurance policy and it may be worth taking a small hit on the price to bag this offer.
Anyway here goes with the preview.
Wild Card Round
1 Ken Doherty [32] v Patrick Einsle (a)
2 Adrian Gunnell [61] v Peter Bullen (a)
3 Yu Delu [72] v Chris Norbury (a)
4 Mike Dunn [41] v Craig Steadman (a)
5 Liu Song [62] v Soner Sari (a)
6 James Wattana [58] w/o Mario Wehrmann (a)
7 Paul S Davison [79] v Krzysztof Wrobel (a)
8 Tom Ford [31] v Philip Arnold (a)
OK, I will get the obvious out of the way in advance. Wildcard rounds are unfair and pointless.
That’s that done.
I haven’t an awful lot to say about these set of matches, other than all but one should see the seeded players progress fairly easily. The one exception I would make to this is the match between Mike Dunn and Craig Steadman. Craig has been doing very well in the PTC’s this year and may well find himself in the professional ranks as a result this time next season. Wins over names like Barry Hawkins, Fergal O’Brien and Ricky Walden proves that he is more than capable of mixing it with the big boys. I would still marginally favour Dunny who played exceptionally well to get here and is in something of a run of form, but this is the only match that I think you can give a good chance to the amateur player. Former pro’s Chris Norbury and homeboy Patrick Einsle will be looking to cause an upset but I would be surprised if they did against their respective opponents. I will not recommend a bet but will predict that all the seeded players will get through this round.
First Round
Quarter One:
1 Mark J Williams [1] v Doherty or Einsle
2 Stuart Bingham [11] v Peter Ebdon [19]
3 Stephen Lee [13] v Gunnell or Bullen
4 Ding Junhui [5] v Delu or Norbury
Holder Mark Williams heads up this quarter and will probably face Ken Doherty in the first round. Ken did well over in Australia a few months back and reached his first semi-final for some time before MJW beat him quite soundly. There is nothing to suggest that a similar result will not occur here. Two players struggling a bit for form are Stuart Bingham, who won over in Oz of course and Peter Ebdon. Ebbo has hardly won a match all season and is slipping down the rankings sharply, a win for either of them may be a turning point but you’d have to fancy Williams to beat the victor on current form. Stephen Lee will be confident of progressing against Adrian Gunnell and the possible all-Chinese match between Ding and Delu should go the way of the world number five, but don’t discount a possible shock there.
Predicted Quarter Winner: Mark Williams
Quarter Two:
5 Allister Carter [7] v Joe Perry [27]
6 Ronnie O’Sullivan [14] v Andrew Higginson [20]
7 Matthew Stevens [15] v Dunn or Steadman
8 Neil Robertson [4] v Marcus Campbell [24]
Poor Ali Carter is not a happy bunny at the moment and turns up to play Joe Perry at a loss to explain his poor recent form. Joe beat the Captain at this stage in this last year and is in better form than Ali so you’d have to side with him to do the same again. Ronnie needs a run in this to make sure he doesn’t have to qualify for the Crucible, but shouldn’t expect things all his own way against Andrew Higginson. However, given what is at stake this week for him you would have to fancy the Rocket to progress and to go on to beat the winner of Ali and Joe. Matthew Stevens has a 5-0 head to head statistic over Mike Dunn and that would be enough for me to be confident that he will win again and set up a match with Neil Robertson, who is in such good form lately that it would be foolish to discount him on the grounds that he had a bit of a sniffle last week, Marcus Campbell is a fine player and may cause him problems but I can’t see the Aussie losing there to set up what could be an interesting encounter with Stevens, the winner of which could face Ronnie.
Predicted Quarter Winner: Ronnie O’Sullivan
Quarter Three:
9 Mark Selby [3] v Song or Sari
10 Graeme Dott [10] v James Wattana [58]
11 Martin Gould [16] v Ricky Walden [22]
12 Shaun Murphy [6] v Barry Hawkins [23]
Mark Selby had a very poor Masters by his standards and to me is feeling the pressure of being the current world number one. If he is, his current form is going some way to easing this pressure as he won’t be there for much longer. That said, he would be very disappointed to lose in the first round here after a final appearance last year. Graeme Dott is a player that I think enjoys this set up and lost narrowly to Selby in the semi-finals last year, he’s in good form and I think he will beat Wattana and then go on to have another tussle with the Jester, he’s a possible dark horse in this. Ricky Walden holds a 6-1 head to head advantage over Martin Gould with Gould only beating him in a PTC and Ricky winning all the others in more prestigious events (if you count the recent match in a circus tent in Brazil) so that maybe tells us that something about Martin’s game plays into Ricky’s hands a bit too often. Newly crowned King of Speed Barry Hawkins plays Masters runner-up Shaun Murphy who I think is beginning to come into form at the right time of the season. I can see Smurf going to the business end of this event.
Predicted Quarter Winner: Shaun Murphy
Quarter Four:
13 Judd Trump [8] v Davison or Wrobel
14 Mark Allen [12] v Ford or Arnold
15 Stephen Maguire [9] v Ryan Day [30]
16 John Higgins [2] v Mark Davis [17]
Judd Trump was beaten in the first round in this last year by Stephen Hendry in a match that I can’t even remember. It’s fair to say that if you wind forward 12 months and the same result were to happen again it would cause quite a splash. He will win his first match to set up a possible repeat of the UK final with Mark Allen, and what a real treat for the German fans that would be. I have a slight fancy that Allen will have a decent week so would not discount him at all to gain revenge for York should this match up occur. Stephen Maguire has beaten Ryan Day in their last four meetings and is in good form recently so you would expect him to do so again and he may set up another all Scottish meeting with John Higgins who will face Dark Mavis first up. I am still prepared to take Higgins on as I don’t think he is quite at his brilliant best just yet, while he may make the Quarters I think Allen or Trump will beat him there.
Predicted Quarter Winner: Mark Allen
Recommended Bets:
2 points win Shaun Murphy to win German Masters at 14/1 with Apollobet (with Robertson insurance)
2 points win Mark Williams to win German Masters at 11/1 with Apollobet (with Robertson insurance)
1 point each way Mark Allen to win German Masters at 20/1 with Sportingbet.
1 point special enhanced treble Williams, O’Sullivan and Murphy all to win their quarters at 26/1 with Apollobet (back here).
2 points Enhanced Acca on the first round matches: Maguire, Dott, Walden and Perry at 17/2 with Apollobet (back here).
The Best of Luck with your bets.
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