September 10, 2011

Shanghai Masters Final Sunday

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 6:09 pm

All that's on TV these days is repeats

It may not be quite what Sky would term ‘Super Sunday’ but it is ‘Snooker Sunday’ over in Shanghai where we find two familiar faces contesting the best of 19 frame final.

First to book his place in the final this morning was Mark Selby who didn’t really have to play that well to beat Mark King very easily indeed. It’s hard to know why King didn’t perform to the standard that he is sometimes capable of but the Jester was rarely out of the driving seat and the whitewash accurately reflected just what a one-sided match this truly was. King will however be happy with his week’s work and it gives him something to build on in the second third of the season in his attempt to make an automatic spot at the Crucible by moving up a few more places in the rankings.

After the one-sided match this morning this afternoon saw Mark Williams scrape through against Neil Robertson in a decider. It was a strange match that never really hit the heights in terms of quality and both of them, but particularly Mark seemed very bothered by the table. At 5-4 in front I would probably have made Neil a heavy favourite as Mark seemed a bit too pre-occupied by how bad the table was playing but he proved again that to write him off is pure folly and came through the decider to book his date with the Jester.

I won’t go into the betting side of things too much again, but I am in the strange position of potentially winning substantially more on Selby than MJW and wanting Williams to win. An ideal final would have been Selby and Robbo as I stood to win the same on both of them but MJW winning has thrown it into the mix a bit. But whatever happens from a profit point of view it’s been a good week, if Selby wins it will be up there with one of the best since the blog began, which is obviously very pleasing. I hope you too have won a bit from those nasty old bookies.

Anyway, to the final.

The Final

Mark Selby v Mark Williams (Head to Head 1-5)

Selby beat Williams for the first time ever in their last meeting at the PTC Grand Finals in Dublin in March. Before that MJW had won every time including of course the German Masters final which he won 9-7 and got as close to emotional at the end as I have ever seen him, such was the atmosphere over in Berlin. Before his performance today MJW had been very impressive, outclassing Andrew Higginson and Robert Milkins before making Matthew Stevens look very ordinary indeed. After Williams lost from a winning position in the UK Final to John Higgins last season he came straight back and won the next ranking event, he suffered a similar defeat against Stuart Bingham in Australia of course, will history repeat itself and he will bounce right back to win the next big event again? Selby on the other hand will have to conquer his poor record in ranking finals to win. He has lost 4 of the 5 ranking finals he has played in and that kind of thing can just play in the back of your mind if things get close. I haven’t actually seen Selby play well at all this week yet, unlike MJW, but he’s made it to the final playing by his standards poorly and that makes me think it might be him that finally ups his game tomorrow. I have a feeling that Selby will win but I am just hoping for a decent final. If I was still looking for a bet I’d probably back the under 2.5 centuries at 5/6 with Paddy Power. There haven’t been too many by recent standards this week as a consequence of the playing conditions and three in the final would buck that trend. If you fancy that bet and you haven’t got an account with them just click their link on the sidebar to open one and take advantage of their introductory offer.

The best of luck if you are betting on the final.

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