Welsh Open: Semi-Final Saturday
We move on today to the semi-finals and at last the boys at the BBC will hopefully stop bleating on about there being a Welsh winner. Patriotism only goes so far in my book before it starts to become annoyingly tribal. So let’s raise a glass to England and Scotland, who provide today’s semi-finalists.
Yesterday saw the end of the Welsh challenge, starting off with the defeat of Mark Williams, who played the most bizarre match against Stephen Maguire. The laid-back Welshman looked anything but as he decided to commit snooker suicide by beating the record for the amount of time it took to finally play a safety shot. At one point it looked to be working against Stephen ‘Cue Bang’ Maguire, but in the end it was the Welshman who was banged out of the tournament, in truth, deservedly so after an uncharacteristically nervy and clumsy display.
On the other table the Jester got his hands dirty again and out slogged Dotty. You feel he will start having to up his game a notch if he is to take his second ever ranking title but there is still hope for those of you who followed me in the outrights.
Last night saw the partisan crowd put in their place by John Higgins, who again looked to be very solid in the balls when he got in, but he isn’t yet playing as well as he did in the UK so he’s not unbeatable. His defeat of Matthew Stevens can be described as workmanlike rather than awesome. On the other table, the laid back Chinese man and increasingly demonstrative Ding Junhui was dumped out by the Captain. Ali arguably produced the best snooker of the day and looked very good. The 5-2 scoreline could actually in the end be seen as flattering Ding, who just wasn’t at the races for the majority of the match. But Ali was very solid.
Bettingwise, it was a mixed bag yesterday. Two out of four of the recommended match bets won but I was disappointed with Williams, who up to then had looked nigh on unbeatable. For my penance, I have forwarded my £10 to The Potfather, Black Whippet, head held down in shame to reimburse the Not So Great Blog Bet Pot which continues to hang by a thread. But at least we still have the outright bet on Selby to pacify the increasingly thirsty punters at Sheffield.
There will be some news early next week for all those of you that have invested in the snooker future of the Albino Assassin, Pretzel-Boy Allan Taylor. It’s been a huge response to a campaign that one Dutch website described as ‘unusual’, well all I can say is that they haven’t heard my latest idea yet! When I’ve sorted that one out it could dwarf this in the unusualness stakes I can tell you. Mrs SB blames my overactive mind, I’d prefer to call it genius. Allan himself is in action down in Gloucester today for anyone in the area that would like to pop into the SWSA and watch him.
As for todays penultimate Welsh Icon, this will no doubt please all the lady lovers on the blog. Such a shame she married her grandad. I wonder what she saw in multi-trillionaire Michael Douglas anyhow? Our Cath should have looked a bit closer to home in my opinion, her and Dominic Dale would have made a lovely couple for example, he could have treated her to nights at the Opera, trips to the Butterfly House and plates of viennese whirls as well as free backstage access to BBC Wales and the chance to rub shoulders with the likes of Darren Morgan, John Evans, Griff and that Ashleigh bloke. They could even have gone halves on jet black hair dye as the grey ones began to appear. But oh no, she wanted more than that, poor Dommo.
Anyway, enough of that nonsense, let’s get the boys on the baize.
Semi Finals (Best of 11)
1pm
John Higgins v Ali Carter (H2H 6-0)
A repeat of last year’s final sees the Captain trying to overhaul a 6-0 head to head deficit and beat Higgins for the very first time. The closest he has ever got to the Wizard was in 2003 in this event when he forced a decider in round one, but since then it’s been pretty much one way traffic when the two have met. As I said above, John has not looked unbeatable this week and could easily not have made it here, but as we all know he has a winners mentality and that is crucial if things get tight. Ali has been quietly making his way through and for some reason seems to thrive at this venue. Perhaps for all the cheeky showmanship that he can give us he is more at home in the low key surroundings of Newport and neighbouring Bridgend. Whatever it is, he’s only lost once here in three years, that being to Higgins in last year’s final. I have a sneaking feeling that Ali might just turn the tables on John today and would not put anyone off backing him to win. Of the two he seems to be looking the more assured up to now, but Higgins is not a player to take on lightly, so rather than recommend a bet on Ali to win and with the handicaps not offering a great deal of value in pitching him at 4/11 with a 2.5 frame start, this makes the price below a bit of value, as you could argue it’s the same bet. HIGGINS WINS EASILY, 6-2.
Recommended Bet: Winning Margin under 2.5 frames at 11/10 with Paddy Power
7pm
Mark Selby v Stephen Maguire (H2H 4-2)
Selby is carrying the hopes of the blog in the outrights and I wish I was a little more confident that he can carry it off than I am. He’s again grinding out results and isn’t exactly living up to his billing as an entertainer, but as he often says himself on Twitter ‘a win is a win’. Mags got better as the match went on yesterday but still missed some silly balls which resulted in a couple of his trademark cue bangs. But he remains a solid long potter and the mistakes don’t look to be down to bottle problems, usually they just seem to be simple miscalculations. This is another tight one to call for me and even factoring in my inherent ‘back against Maguire’ mentality I still can’t find the confidence to say that Selby will win. So again I will look to other markets and looking back I noticed that out the 7 times these two have met there has only once been more than 2 frames in it either way, so again I’m going into Paddyland and the winning margin market.
Recommended Bet: Winning Margin under 2.5 frames at Evens with Paddy Power
For Multiple backers, a 1 point double on the two bets above pays 4.2 at Paddy Power but I have been onto Betfred this morning and have asked if they will offer an enhanced Snookerbacker double on the two. Should this materialise I will let you know in the comments section, or just click the banner below to check. I think he’s still in bed.
Good Luck if you are having a bet today.


















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