September 6, 2010

Shanghai Day Two Preview

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 6:06 pm

Enter The (Welsh) Dragon

The wildcard day has been and gone with two from the eight making it through to the first round at the expense of their more deserving opponents. Mike Dunn and Rob Milkins must be feeling pretty miffed this evening and I don’t blame them.

Tomorrow sees the beginning of the first round of the final stages when seven slots are decided. The eighth has already been sorted out of course as Jamie Burnett effectively won two matches today with his bye into the last 16 thanks to Ronnie’s withdrawal.

So it’s time now to consider if there is anything worth a bet tomorrow:

7.30am (UK Time)

Liang Wenbo v Matthew Stevens (Head to Heads 0-1)

I have already written this match up and recommended a bet on it here. I just think Matthew might nick this one.

Stephen Maguire v Judd Trump (Head to Heads 0-0)

Similarly here I have also written this one up, I’m also delighted to say that anyone that has taken decent odds on Trump with Boylesports in the outrights and quarter betting will not be subject to a Rule 4 deduction since Ronnie pulled out. Excellent news should we have to queue up at the pay out window come Sunday.

Mark Allen v Stuart Bingham (Head to Heads 1-0)

Similarly again I have already said my piece about this one, an small outside punt on Bingham is where I’m going at the price just given both their form coming into this.

Graeme Dott v Ken Doherty (Head to Heads 4-7)

Despite the head to head statistic in favour of Ken it is Graeme that has had the best of their recent tussles. Early season form from wee Dotty hasn’t been that impressive and Ken didn’t exactly set the world on fire this morning. I think if Ken had shown even a glimpse of form earlier on he’d have had a decent chance in this but I have a feeling that the Dottmeister General will see him off here in time for Ken to make his Poker tournament in Dublin on Thursday.


Marco Fu v Mark Davis (Head to Heads 1-1)

Both times these two have locked horns they have fought out a deciding frame, most recently in the 2009 Grand Prix when Davis ended up the winner. Mark improved his ranking and his stature in the game in leaps and bounds last season while Marco had a fairly mediocre time of things. It’s a really hard one to call this and the 6/4 at Skybet on Davis is not a bad price, but given the history the recommended bet from me is Mark Davis (+1.5 frames) 4/5 Blue Square.

Can Andrew spoil Ryan's Day?

Mark Williams v Ricky Walden (Head to Heads 1-1)

Mark famously broke his ranking event hoodoo of recent years by winning in China last March and always seems to travel well to tournaments. He won the first PTC Event at the height of summer but since that hasn’t really figured in any of the other events. Ricky is a very capable player and a former winner of this event so the two both have the pedigree to do well this week. Boyles have trimmed the 15/8 they had available on Walden at the start of the week and if that had still have been there I might have been tempted. But 7/4 is the best you can get now on him, I’d still say that’s a little overpriced and I would not put anyone off putting a few quid on the shock here.

Ryan Day v Andrew Higginson (Head to Heads 0-0)

For some reason Ryan is a heavy favourite for this match, I have no idea why unless someone knows something I’ve missed, 4/7 is a dreadful price. He is struggling, make no mistake about that and is badly in need of a win here. Higginson looked fairly solid earlier and has a match behind him, he has been playing in every event this season and is winning more than he is losing. For me there is only one bet here so I’m going to recommend Higginson (11/8 Bet365)

I’ll endeavour to update again throughout the day tomorrow. The blog has been unbelievably busy today so thanks to you all for tuning in. As ever, good luck if you are having a bet.

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