Snookerbacker

April 22, 2010

Day Seven: The Second Round Continues

Filed under: snookerbacker @ 2:58 pm

Will Gould be Thunderstruck?

Day Seven sees a return to normality and a morning, afternoon and evening session.

I had far too much time on my hands on the morning of day six and even ended up doing some housework. Mrs SB was very happy with that as I’ve had to cheer her up since her holiday suffered at the hands of the Icelandic Volcano. We have decided to cross Iceland off our holiday destination list and we will continue not to shop there. I hope no Icelandic snooker players start to rise to the surface as I’ll probably be blinkered in all my previews and take an irrational dislike to them.

We see the conclusion of the match between Mark Allen and Will Self lookalike Mark Davis who play two sessions today, the second session of Higgins against the Nugget and the two opening sessions of my main man Neil Robertson’s match against Herr Flick impersonator and Professor Yaffle wannabe Martin ‘The Pinner Potter’ Gould.

It also sees the other wee man Graeme Dott start his second round match against Stephen ?

Just a quick ‘big-up’ to Gerard Greene who rescued a dead in the water recommended handicap bet against Murphy, now where did I put that betting slip?

Allo, Allo, Martin Gould is a dangerous potter

10am

Neil Robertson v Martin Gould

I’m glad that Robertson had a bit of a test against Fergal O’Brien as this will stand him in good stead for this match, which could well prove tricky against the very good potter Gould. Neil rose to the challenge in round one and showed a great deal of patience and determination in grinding out a result. He will have a different type of match here as Gould is a far more attacking player who takes more chances than Fergal and there are likely to be a lot of chances left for breaks to flow. Though to be fair there are tee-total, non-gambling, vow-of-silence celibate monks that take more chances than Fergal. Gould took advantage of a very poor performance by Marco Fu in round one and grew in confidence as the match went on after a slow start and closed off the match in impressive fashion. He did have a lot of good run of the ball, freakishly so at times and to me he lacks the positional game to progress much further up the ranks, but he is a fine potter. In Gould’s only two matches at the Crucible to date he has started badly and I’d argue that it is essential to his chances in this match to not be worse than 5-3 down after this session, if he is I can see this being a routine win for Robertson. But whatever the outcome, and you all know who I hope wins it should be an open attacking game and for that reason the bet I will recommend is this price at Paddy Power.

Recommended Bet: Neil Robertson to make over 7.5 50 Breaks (4/6 Paddy Power)

Mark Allen v Mark Davis ( 5-3 second session of three)

Mark Allen after narrowly missing knocking in a 147 in Round One, now holds the highest break of the tournament with a 146. Allen is emerging as a real player in this and has a decent enough draw up to the semi-finals. The recommended Allen handicap bet in the previous preview still looks promising, but I have to say the current odds to me look out of kilter, particularly for backers and layers, I mean Allen 1/25? Davis 9/1? Well out, when Allen has played fantastically well and is still only two frames clear. Davis is no mug and can get back into this if Allen has an iffy session, but Allen as I’ve said is a very good front runner and doesn’t often throw away leads, I just think the odds are wrong and to balance the handicap bet I may have a few quid on Davis.

2.30pm

John Higgins v Steve Davis (2-6 Second session of three)

Well, incredible betting opportunities here.

I haven’t had a bet on it.

I’d be amazed if Higgins didn’t win.

Recommended Bet: John Higgins to beat Steve Davis (3/5 Extrabet)

Stephen Maguire v Graeme Dott (Head to Heads 3-2, last relevant meeting 6-5 Maguire 2009 Masters)

Graeme Dott played superbly to beat Peter Ebdon and will enter this match feeling confident that he can cause an upset against his fellow Scotsman Maguire. Stephen played a very tactical mindgame against Stephen Lee, it was the snooker equivalent of bullying at times, but it worked. Lee gifted him some frames but towards the end of the match when Maguire speeded up he played his best snooker of the season. He has clearly blocked out the off-the-table affairs which are conspicuous in their absence from conversation, most players coming out and saying what an all round good egg he is. So to the match, I would not put anyone off backing Dott, he has the pedigree to go very far here and I am very happy with my 169/1 punt on him in the outrights. He has been threatening a return to form for a while now and a win here by my reckoning will put him back into the top 16 at the expense of Jamie Cope. Maguire has fallen from number two to a provisional ranking of six next season, but all that could change if he does well here. I think this one will be close, maybe even a final frame decider and I was going to go all out and recommend a Dott straight win bet, but I’m going to play it safe.

Recommended Bet: Graeme Dott (+2.5 frames, 11/10 Sportingbet)

Will he better him Self? It could be a long day for Mark Davis today.

7pm

Neil Robertson v Martin Gould (2-6 Second session of three)

Robbo arrived this morning looking like death warmed up and was destroyed by a dazzling display from Gould. Quite extraordinary. But Robertson finally awoke from his slumber at 12 noon and won the last two of the session. There is no reason why he can’t win this session by the same scoreline tonight and draw level. I think he’ll play a bit better in front of what could be the whole of the Crucible for the majority of the session.

Mark Allen v Mark Davis (11-5 Final Session)

Allen is just creeping into my calculations again after I threw him off my shortlist after China. He should have no difficulty closing this match off, he doesn’t lose from positions like this. Hopefully he’ll do it early to land the handicap bet too.

Incidentally, anyone that is keen on helping to construct a new World Top 32 Ranking List based on the introduction songs chosen by the players should click here.

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